Will They Pull Through? OC’s 13 closest races!


We’ll be checking on each of these races every day at 5 SO YOU DON’T HAVE TO! These are the closest ones in the OC (at least the closest ones we care much about.)

State Senate 36 – will CHRIS DUNCAN (D) stay ahead of incumbent Tony Strickland (R)?

  • Tuesday night – Duncan 0.4% ahead (he has been losing in OC but winning in the LA part of the district)
  • Wednesday night – Duncan up 0.6% (50.3 to 48.7)
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

Assembly 68 – will JESSIE LOPEZ (progressive D) catch & pass David Penaloza (vendido D)?

  • Tuesday night – Jessie was behind over 7% (46.3 to 53.7)
  • Wednesday night – Jessie is behind only 4% (48-52)
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

Assembly 72 – will CHRIS KLUWE (D) catch BACK up to and pass Gracey Van Der Mark (R)?

  • Tuesday night – Chris was 6 points ahead! (53% to 47%)
  • Wednesday night – Chris is behind 1.6% (49/2 to 50.8)
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

Assembly 70 – will PAULA SWIFT (D) catch BACK up to and pass Tri Ta (R)?

  • Tuesday night – it was 50-50!
  • Wednesday night – Paula is behind 1% (49.5 to 50.5)
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

North OC CCD – will JESUS SILVA (ok D) catch up with & pass Paulette Chaffee (crooked rich D)?

  • Tuesday night – Jesus was 2.8% behind Paulette – 27% to 29.8%
  • Wednesday night – Jesus at 1.8% behind Paulette – 27% to 28.8%
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

Rancho Santiago CCD – will BEA MENDOZA (D) catch up with & pass Daisy Tong (R)?

  • Tuesday night – Bea was behind 9% – 45.5 to 54.5
  • Wednesday night – Bea behind 4.6 – 47.7 to 52.3
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

OC Supervisor District 4 – will CONNOR TRAUT (D) stay ahead of Tim Shaw (R)?

  • Tuesday night – Connor was ahead 8.8% – 52.7 to 45.6, NS, then later Tim was a LITTLE ahead.
  • Wednesday night – Connor was back ahead by only 0.6% – 50.3 to 49.7
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

Aliso Viejo district 3 – will MARIE TSAASAN (D) stay ahead of incumbent Garrett Dwyer (R)?

  • Tuesday night – Marie was ahead almost 11%, 54.4 to 45.6… then later she was TEN VOTES BEHIND! (very low turnout.)
  • Wednesday night – Marie is back ahead, by ONLY FOUR VOTES! (50.1% to 49.9%)
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

Huntington Beach – will BEN DAVIS (D) remain in the top 4 and get onto Council as the only Dem?

  • Tuesday night – THREE Dems were in the top 4, with Ben at top… gradually R’s caught up
  • Wednesday night – Ben the only Dem left, at #4, and with one Brian Thienes (probably R) only 100 votes behind him.
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

Irvine district 1 – will MELINDA LIU (D) catch back up with & pass John Park (R)?

  • Tuesday night – Melinda was ahead, 40% to John’s 37.5%.
  • Wednesday night – Melinda is behind by 1%, at 38.5% to John’s 39.5%
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

Santa Ana Mayor – will progressive DAN SHIMELL (D) catch up with & pass police union tool Valerie Amezcua?

  • Tuesday night – DAN was 13% behind, everyone was filled with despair!
  • Wednesday night – Dan is only 5% behind, at 40.5% to Valerie’s 45.6%-
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

Tustin Mayor – will LETITIA CLARK (D) catch BACK up with & pass Austin Lumbard (R)?

  • Tuesday night – Letitia was ahead 0.6% – 50.3 to Austin’s 49.7.
  • Wednesday night – Letitia behind by 1.4% – 49.3 to Austin’s 50.7.
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

Westminster Mayor – will CARLOS MANZO (D) catch up with & pass Charlie Chi Nguyen (R)?

  • Tuesday night – Carlos was behind 2.4% – 37.7% to Charlie’s 40.1%.
  • Wednesday night – Carlos behind 0.5% – 38.5% to Charlie’s 39% – that’s ONLY 111 VOTES!
  • Thursday night –
  • Friday night –

About Vern Nelson

Greatest pianist/composer in Orange County, and official political troubadour of Anaheim and most other OC towns. Regularly makes solo performances, sometimes with his savage-jazz band The Vern Nelson Problem. Reach at vernpnelson@gmail.com, or 714-235-VERN.