2020 Primary Politics: 01. Intro + NPP Voters


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Running for office is a marathon — but despite how it may look, this is not a bunch of women chasing after Joe Biden because he sniffed their hair.

FIRST — FOR NPP VOTERS:

This is from the Orange County Registrar of Voters office; if you reside in a different California County, please check with them about their procedures.

As a voter registered with No Party Preference, if you want to vote for U.S. President, you must request a primary election ballot with presidential candidates.

The American Independent, Democratic, and Libertarian Parties allow No Party Preference voters to participate in their Presidential Primary Elections.

Beginning in 2020, all voters in Orange County will receive a vote-by-mail ballot

A postcard has been sent to you that will allow you to request an American Independent, Democratic, or Libertarian Party ballot. Once you make your selection, return it in the mail. You can also request one of these selections on our website at ocvote.com/npp, by calling our office at 714-567-7600, or by sending a fax to 714-567-7556.
If you do not request a partisan ballot by returning the postcard, submitting the request on our website, or calling our office by the deadline, you will be mailed a ballot without any presidential candidates. If this happens, you can request a replacement ballot from your county elections official by:

  • Submitting a request on our website
  • Calling our office at 714-567-7600
  • Email
  • Fax to 714-567-7556
  • Voting in person at a Vote Center beginning on February 22, 2020

If you choose to vote in person at a Vote Center beginning on February 22, 2020

Ask the Vote Center staff for a ballot with either American Independent, Democratic, or Libertarian Party presidential candidates when checking-in at the Vote Center.

Voting in the Green, Peace and Freedom, or Republican Party Primary

If you want to vote for the Green, Peace and Freedom, or Republican Parties’ presidential candidates, you must re-register with that specific party.

You can re-register to vote online at  ocvote.com/register. If you need to re-register after February 17, 2020, you may need to register to vote in person at a Vote Center.

Now on to the introduction….

INTRODUCTION

I hope to provide some structure to my writings on Presidential politics this yer (and yes, I’ll do the same for local politics), by presenting them as a numbered series, all the easier for people to seek out or skip.  These pieces will be shorter than my normal ones, which may or may not still appear.  (OK, who am I kidding?  They will still appear, but I’m not sure whether as part of a series.)

The first part of the series (as I’ve already instructed Republicans how to vote in their primary) will focus on Democratic electorate.  I’ll begin by focusing on some overarching themes: the rift within the party (Left and anti-Left); how each side thinks it can win (capturing the middle versus building up larger base turnout); the role of complexity versus simplicity in arguments; the role that logic vs. emotion play in arguments; how the primary ststem actually works anticipation of how Trump will pursue re-election, depending on his opponent; the question of what can actually be achieved by the next President under various scenarios; and, finally, who’s telling voters the truth about all of this.

Then I’ll focus on each of the remaining candidates (plus one that doesn’t remain), and then some of the main demographic groups to watch.  And, unless I double up on some days, that will most likely take us to the end of January — just before the Iowa Caucuses and the mass mailing of Democratic primary ballots on February 3.  You’ll want to keep this link handy for a couple of reasons: first, it contains a list of all of the primary contests, and second, it explains why I’d take a bet (with reasonable odds) that Tulsi Gabbard will win the Democratic nomination, while badly losing the Democratic vote.

Here’s the projected list of topics:

  • 01. This Introduction
  • Theories of Victory
  • The Democratic Rift
  • Accepting Complexity
  • Politics Isn’t Local, It’s Personal
  • Guide to the Nomination Process
  • How Will Trump Fight?
  • What Can Be Achieved?
  • Who’s Telling It Straight?
  • Harris
  • Castro
  • Booker
  • Patrick
  • Gabbard
  • Klobuchar
  • Buttigieg
  • Yang
  • Biden
  • Bloomberg
  • Steyer
  • Warren
  • Sanders
  • Black Voters — It’s the Timing More Than the Base
  • Black Voters — Age, Religiosity, or Practicality?
  • Black Voters — Church-Centered
  • Black Voters — Secular
  • Latino Voters
  • Asian Voters
  • Women Voters
  • LGBTQ+ Voters
  • Labor Voters
  • Military Voters

Suggest your own topics, as you’d like, and of course weigh in on any of the posts — or seek out me or Vern and ask if you can write your own!


About Greg Diamond

Somewhat verbose attorney, semi-retired due to disability, residing in northwest Brea. Occasionally runs for office against bad people who would otherwise go unopposed. Got 45% of the vote against Bob Huff for State Senate in 2012; Josh Newman then won the seat in 2016. In 2014 became the first attorney to challenge OCDA Tony Rackauckas since 2002; Todd Spitzer then won that seat in 2018. Every time he's run against some rotten incumbent, the *next* person to challenge them wins! He's OK with that. Deposed as Northern Vice Chair of DPOC in April 2014 (in violation of Roberts Rules) when his anti-corruption and pro-consumer work in Anaheim infuriated the Building Trades and Teamsters in spring 2014, who then worked with the lawless and power-mad DPOC Chair to eliminate his internal oversight. Expelled from DPOC in October 2018 (in violation of Roberts Rules) for having endorsed Spitzer over Rackauckas -- which needed to be done. None of his pre-putsch writings ever spoke for the Democratic Party at the local, county, state, national, or galactic level, nor do they now. One of his daughters co-owns a business offering campaign treasurer services to Democratic candidates and the odd independent. He is very proud of her. He doesn't directly profit from her work and it doesn't affect his coverage. (He does not always favor her clients, though she might hesitate to take one that he truly hated.) He does advise some local campaigns informally and (so far) without compensation. (If that last bit changes, he will declare the interest.)