For John Moorlach to lose the SD-37 election at this point would pretty much take an Act of God. That’s not the way to bet. The sky fell Chicken Little’s way once again, but this time it fell on Don Wagner.
By How Much is Moorlach Leading?
For purposes of determining whether this race is over, one needs to view the race as a contest between two candidates: Moorlach and Not Moorlach. If Not Moorlach has more votes, we go to a May runoff. Here are those results:
MOORLACH: 38,111
NOT MOORLACH: 37,717
MARGIN: 394 votes
VALID VOTES: 75,828
38,111/75,828: 0.50259798491 [that’s for the benefit of Chris Nguyen]
Now it’s conceivable, I suppose, that 395 vote-by-mail ballots with Tuesday postmarks could come in tomorrow marked for Don Wagner, Naz Namazi, or Louise Stewardson and none for Moorlach — or, 1,395 for Not Moorlach and 1,000 for Moorlach; it’s all the same — but that seems about as unlikely as UCI’s Anteaters winning the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament, not only this year but for the next ten.
What’s left to count?
Total estimated number of ballots to count (after Election Day): 8045
Total estimated number of ballots counted (after Election Day): 8045
Total estimated number of ballots left to count: 0
Nothing, except for however many ballots may trickle in tomorrow.
Vote-by-Mail Ballots Left to Count
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots to count: 550
Total vote-by-mail ballots counted: 550
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots left to count: 0
Vote-by-Mail Ballots Returned at the Polls Left to Count
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots returned at the polls to count: 3956
Total vote-by-mail ballots returned at the polls counted: 3956
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots returned at the polls left to count: 0
Provisionals Left to Count
Total estimated number of provisionals to count: 686
Total provisionals counted: 686
Total estimated number of provisionals left to count: 0
Election Day Paper Ballots Left to Count
Total estimated number of election day paper ballots to count: 181
Total election day paper ballots counted: 181
Total estimated number of election day paper ballots left to count: 0
Eligible Vote-by-Mail Ballots received after Election Day Left to Count
Total estimated number of eligible vote-by-mail ballots received after Election Day left to count: 2672
Total eligible vote-by-mail ballots counted: 2672
Total estimated number of eligible vote-by-mail ballots left to count: 0
Who picked up how many votes today?
[To come]
Will there be a recount?
In my more mischievous-to-malicious moments, I hope that Wagner will spend some money on it — but I’ll say No.
Two more Ending Questions, which should be in shameful RED, instead of Orange-
Why couldn’t 85% of the REGISTERED voters be BOTHERED to get off their fat, um, couch, and even CAST A BALLOT (EVEN when MAIL-IN BALLOTS were available, and the choice of MOST voters) ??
Do we “get the Government we DESERVE”, or given the Landslide APATHY, do we get BETTER government than we even deserve, SORRY as it is ?
it is a sad day
You’ll live. You’ll thrive, even.
*We will be there Sunday for the Swearing in…….
I know, I know — but Louise Stewardson will run again!