
DON’T bomb Syria. DO violate the airspace of and humiliate Syria. You may not like it, but it beats bombing.
I was surprised — “surprised” actually barely begins to describe it — to read a headline today in Slate purporting to explain “Why the Left Isn’t Protesting an Attack on Syria“. My surprise derived from the fact that, so far as I can tell, the Left is “protesting an attack on Syria.” The article therefore struck me as similar to someone in the windowless middle of a large office building during a summer shower writing an article about why it isn’t raining. “Get outside and look around for yourself,” one wants to say.
In this case, outside of the blanket fortress the writer would find lots of people protesting — often in strong and snarly terms — about the prospect of Obama authorizing a punitive military strike against Syria. Many of these are from the “Occupy ethos,” where the Left comes around and makes common cause with the isolationist R-Paul right, but isolationism alone doesn’t remove one from the Left.
Now among the anti-bombing Left — of which part I am — I’m about as pro-interventionist as you’ll find. I favored Bill Clinton’s interventions in Haiti, in Rwanda, and the then-disintegrating Yugoslavia; I favored Obama’s incursion into Pakistan to capture bin Laden and his support for intervention in Libya.
In all of these cases except perhaps Pakistan, my rationale for supporting intervention was a commitment to international human rights. I do not think that “a man’s home is castle in which to do as he pleases” with respect to violence against his wife and children; nor, for that matter, is it any better if the genders are switched. If we don’t go into someone’s house to prevent the serious violence there, it’s because either the violence is not serious enough or the prospects of improving the situation are too poor.
In each of the above cases, the threat to innocents has been either grave enough or already realized and the prospects for improving the situation has been relatively good. We did stop impending or ongoing massacres in Haiti, Rwanda, former Yugoslavia, and Libya; we also, in each case, showed that we would not do so at the drop of a hat. (Compare those to the cases of Grenada, Panama, Iraq … etc.)
The counterarguments against such interventions are good.
Did we weaken the international taboos against doing so under less justified circumstances? Yes, we did. But those interventions would, for the most part, take place anyway in circumstances where (as in, say, Taiwan or Israel or North Korea or Cuba) a major power wasn’t willing to say “you had, very seriously, better not cross that line.” And each intervention has also lowered the taboo against the analogy of breaking down someone’s door and tackling a homeowner while he is beating his wife to death.
(Ironically, lots of foreign isolationists would be happy to see “illegal” intervention take place is someone where abusing a child or an animal. I value animal rights — but not more so than human rights.)
Are we often hypocritical in our application of this policy? Absolutely. Is that hypocrisy a problem? Absolutely. And yet, this doesn’t negate the possibility that even a hypocrite can do some good sometimes. It depends on the situation — and the situation therefore bears close examination. In the case of a not-small chemical weapon attack against civilians, I welcome hypocrites into the posse.
Is it possible that we’ll do more harm than good with forceful intervention? Yes — that’s almost always possible. And it’s also almost always possible that we’ll do more harm than good by non-intervention. We will stir up Syrian (and perhaps Iranian) hatred against us — and Russian and Chinese criticism — if we violate Syria’s sovereignty. That’s an argument against intervention — but it’s not a conclusive one. Tackle the guy who’s whipping his dog with a metal stick and he’s not going to like you either.
So, as you can see, I’m far from an absolute pacifist, although I am absolutely against violent intervention for reasons of personal/national gain. I think that that’s what people everywhere have a right — and even a responsibility — to hate. But we also shouldn’t be too quick to latch onto to every suggestion that a given intervention is a function of greed. That makes it too easy for true bad guys to get away with murder.
Most people, I presume, would not be willing to slaughter masses of civilians — but it doesn’t take “most people” to do it — just a few, just enough. The idea of intervention is to deter them. The biggest lack in the current debate against Syria is that it seems to come down to “bombing” or “not bombing.” This is a lot less sophisticated than the tactical debate surrounding World War II. Perhaps it can be improved.
What’s the proper reaction to an egregious, goalpost-moving, chemical weapons attack by a government on its civilians? I think that the general answer is: some loss of sovereignty. Being bombed from ships in the Mediterranean is one example of loss of sovereignty; it’s part of the point. (The other part is to reduce the target nation’s military capacity — but that’s exactly the part that we’re not sure we can do “bloodlessly,” meaning without lots of “collateral damage” (read, death to civilians and destruction of non-military property.)
If we’re not going to invade Syria — and we’re not — then is the destruction of military targets, at the cost of unintended destruction of civilian targets (and civilians themselves) so important? Not really. This battle is more psychological than material. The point we’re making is: “you had better stop messing around, because we can get you any time we want to.”
So, violating Syrian sovereignty isn’t just a means of doing something bad to the Syrian government: it is the point itself. It’s the thump on the chest that says “keep this up and next time or the time after that you’re not going to in a hospital.” You don’t need bombs to get that point across. Bombs, in fact, detract from the point to be made. Ideally, you want to make the point in a memorable and not directly violent way — the horse’s head in the bed, in Godfather terms (although I do recognize that this was violent to the horse.)
Here’s ten examples that send the message, without explosions, that the Assad government can’t protect its supporters. (If you don’t want some mordant humor — although #1-#7 do point out things that would be better than bombs, you can skip directly to #8.)
(1) Diluted chickenshit in balloons. Figure out where the Assad regime’s supporters live. Have bombers fly over the area and drop balloons filled with chickenshit, diluted to the point where it is unlikely to be lethal. Cover these areas with chickenshit-water balloons.
(2) Sticky colorful feathers. Feathers aren’t likely to kill people when they fall, unless bundled into large bales. Make them brightly colored — say, a festive hot pink — and covered with something like but less precious than honey. Drop them all over the place — where they will serve as colorful reminders, some stuck in place, some blowing in the wind — that they could have been bombs.
(3) Dead rats, microwave-sterilized. We don’t want to start a plague in Syria, so we have to be careful to make sure that they aren’t carrying plague or the like. But short of as an infectious vector, dead rats don’t generally kill people. They’re awfully unpleasant and very hard to ignore, though. But, I ask you, would you rather have dead rats or bombs dropped on your house? Rats, right? OK, then!
(4) Cicadas. I don’t know if this is technologically possible, but mounds of cicadas that would keep people up all night would be a pretty amazing show of force.
(5) McDonald’s hamburgers and french fries. Two big advantages to this one: first, people will know exactly where they came from; second, they’ll be a permanent reminder of the threat because they’ll never decay. (As a peace gesture, make sure that the burgers are halal.)
On the other hand, in a propaganda offensive such as what this should be, documents may be better.
(6) Pictures of Miley Cyrus twerking. Geneva conventions be damned. This would show that, if need be, we will stop at nothing — such as DVDs.
(7) Pictures of Donald Rumsfeld shaking hands with Saddam Hussein. I’m not positive as to exactly what point this would make, but it would make it eloquently.
What’s that? “Get serious!” Okay, then, try this trio:
(8) Pictures of the victims of the Syrian chemical attacks.
(9) Autoplay MP3 recordings, like those on some greeting cards, of the screams of the victims.
(10) Fairly and passionately written documents, in Arabic, describing what has happened, what may happen next, the evidence against the Assad regime, and why the world believes that it must intervene.
Despite my enjoying thinking of #1-7, I’d go with a combination of #8-10 — propaganda (in this case, true) telling the story and rousing the populace to internal resistance. Note that all of these would violate Syrian sovereignty, which (when imposing international standards) is the main point of the exercise. They just won’t lead to killing people. It would show us toying with the Syrians — and it is very bad for a dictator to let the population show that enemies can toy with you.
I’m sure that there are other and better creative proposals out there. Any of them — like, I’d argue, each of these — would be better than the apparent plan of sending over bombs.
That’s how bad of an option bombing is — it’s worse even than dropping chickenshit-filled balloons.
I would go with #5 and #6…better yet… a picture of ME twerking… now that’s scary.
Greg,
My son in law to be, is a reservist (Army) his response to these articles, yours and mine:
“When we have a vested interest in a country or region and those interests are compromised or there is a substantial threat of those interests being compromised we will take action to defend those interests. We will do the same for an ally if they require or request our assistance.”
Since I am currently serving, if I were a parent with a child old enough to enlist/commission I would have no problem encouraging them to sign up and serve our great country. There is no greater gift a person can give to their country that to be willing to die for what they believe in and what they love. While the military action being discussed currently is minor and not any type of serious offensive (i.e.-boots on ground versus surgically precise missile strikes) there is no smoke in mirrors that a price will be paid. It will be paid on the part of Syria, not the U.S. ” (anon)
I enjoyed reading it, even 1-7!!
Your future son-in-law is well-spoken, Katherine, and supreme confidence in the outcome of our use of military force is something that we do of course try to inculcate in our troops. Nevertheless, I think that some of his perceptions are faulty, others not clearly applicable.
Regarding the end of his second paragraph: it is an error to call a bombing raid inside another country as “minor.” I don’t think that that assertion requires any proof beyond asking how we would react to such a raid against us. Even the lesser steps that I propose are not “minor,” although they’re less serious than an actual bombing.
There’s an analogy here to personal sovereignty: you’re not actually harmed if I put my arm across your neck without your consent and put you into what would be a chokehold if I tightened it, but the law wouldn’t call it “minor.” The same goes if I put my finger a quarter-inch from your open eye without touching it or if I (harmlessly) shaved your body head to toe, doing no permanent damage. The law calls these violations of personal sovereignty “battery.” The fact that I’d rather be shaved head to toe against my will than have a grenade go off in my face doesn’t make the former “minor” or a “non-serious” offense.
The belief that only Syria, and not the U.S., will “pay a price” is unsupported. The U.S. is already paying a price for Obama’s proposal — damage to our “special relationship” with the UK, for example, in foreign affairs. This price isn’t due to Obama suggesting anything radical; it’s due to lingering cynicism over how Bush and Cheney engineered and justified the attack on Iraq. Thinking that such an effort would be costless is an error; your son-in-law (if it is permitted) might have an enlightening conversation with his commanders about the topic.
(The eldest of our three daughters is now a reservist herself, by the way, soon to ship off to boot camp. The GI Bill remains one of the most powerful pieces of legislation around!)
There is a report attributed to the Foreign Policy magazine, that US officials gave Saddam’s army details about the whereabouts of Iranian forces in 1988 knowing that he would deploy chemical weapons. If this is true, then it sets a precedent on how we react to the use of this obscene weaponry. If the US is going to strike Syria, for having crossed a “red line” and the US credibility is seriously questioned, then it can be argued that our credibility has already been lost in that region.(Iraq and WMD allegations, chaos in Lybia, failing to declare that the overthrow of Morsi in Egypt was a coup). Assad needs to go, and there were negotiations through the Geneva summit between the opposition and Assad representatives to establish a cease fire and outline the transition to a new regime. There are calls to renew this summit.
An interesting character in this conflict is Prince Bandar bin Sultan of Saudi Arabia. It is alleged that he had a questionable role when he was the ambassador to the US, allowing legal entry to Saudi nationals that later were involved in the WTC tragedy. He was also advocating a lenient approach to the Taliban when they were in the government. The royal Saudi family was involved in the Iraq conflict, and now in Egypt, supporting the military.
“Can you imagine the blowback from the prince’s current efforts to get the United States to once again meddle madly in a region that we don’t care to comprehend? Why not ask Republican Sens. John McCain and Lindsey Graham who, according to the Journal, met with Bandar in September to urge the Saudis to provide the Syrian rebels with more potent weapons.”
http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/the_prince_meet_the_man_who_co-opted_democracy_in_the_middle_east_20130826/
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2402174/CIA-helped-Saddam-Hussein-make-chemical-weapons-attack-Iran-1988-Ronald-Reagan.html#ixzz2dQWH6065
*The President has been very lucky during the course of his administration. He has fought hard against various stupidities by both sides of the Congress. We firmly believe however that it would be intensely stupid to run a limited attack against Syria for any side. Saddam Hussein killed Kurds in his own country but in fact have several years of practice killing Iranians during that war. Chemical Allie didn’t get that name for one isolated incident. The principles involved were created during World War I when both sides used Mustard Gas and killed thousands of opposing soldiers. From that time…is was only Mein Kamph Leader Adolph that used gas pellets to rid the world of various gypsies, tramps, theives, mental defectives and of course Jews from almost every country of the world. Saddam had a pass for the Kurds …until he was overthrown. Assad will probably get that same pass….until he is overthrown. Just as it should be, but certainly not the responsibility of the United States to Uni-Laterally make any reprisal for such horrific behavior. This is where we stand – We cannot be the judge and jury on ethical breeches….or we should have started several years ago in Africa….when they started hacking off the arms and legs of children, old people, gang raping and then disemboweling women before killing them. Millions died then, not thousands. There are too many ethical breeches – to start with a country that has no friends for the United States or anyone else…except Al-Qaeda, the Muslim Brotherhood and the Christian Allowhytes of Assad.
Don’t do it Mr. President……..you will be glad we held our water on this one…in the long term. We will do nothing but make folks mad, cause economic global disturbance and raise the price of a gallon of gas here in the good old USA! We thought we learned the lessons of Vietnam – never go to war incrementally. Either you are “All In” or you are “All out”!