Only 43% would vote to elect Obama today

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In 2010, the son of Joe Biden will compete to fill Delawares Senate Seat against a man who has run statewide, and won, twelve straight times. Ted Kennedy’s replacement, Hillary’s replacement and Obama’s replacement will all be contested by former statewide winners. In Illinois, the anti-Democrat comes from inner-city Chicago, where most statewide races are decided. In Colorado, the appointed replacement is facing a primary challenge and a former statewide winner in the general. Chris Dodds approval rating in Connecticut is 43% and the Senate Majority Leader is below 40.

The last three months, the foreclosure rate has been “the worst of all time“. September’s 9.8 percent unemployment rate was the worst since June 1983. But robust growth began then and just 17 months later Ronald Reagan came within 3,800 Minnesota votes of carrying all 50 states. Reagan, however, was reducing government’s burdens — taxes, regulations — on the economy. Obama is increasing them. A Democrat is president and, once again, America finds itself in an “unwinnable war.” I know Democrats will never learn, but they will soon be reminded that voters do

Much can change, nationally and locally, before Nov. 2, 2010. But perhaps the most politically salient thing is unlikely to change: high unemployment. The Wall Street Journal recently reported that the economy, which has lost 7.2 million jobs since the recession began in December 2007, must create 100,000 a month just to match population growth. Joseph Seneca, a Rutgers economist, estimates that even if job creation were immediately to reach the pace of the 1990s — an average of 2.15 million private-sector jobs were added each year, double the pace of 2001-2007 — the unemployment rate would not fall to 5 percent until 2017.

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About Terry Crowley