For all the political junkies reading these blogs let me share the Rasmussen “daily presidential tracking poll.” Rasmussen is a highly respected firm covering both major parties. Simply go to the following link and, whenever you need a quick fix, simply let your fingers do the walking.
PS: It appears that due to heavy traffic we are unable to get onto the Rasmussen site at this time. I have also tried to access the site via Rasmussen.com to no avail.
Having just received a call from a reader who could not access the Rasmussen web site let me share part of their report on the Democratic candidates as follows:
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Election 2008: New Hampshire Democratic PrimaryNew Hampshire: Obama 37% Clinton 27%
Saturday, January 05, 2008
Barack Obama, fresh from his victory in Iowa, now holds a ten point lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the race found Obama with 37% of the vote while Clinton earns 27%. John Edwards is the only other candidate in double digits, with 19% support. Bill Richardson is the choice for 8%.
In a pre-Christmas poll, Clinton led Obama by three. In the poll before that, Obama led Clinton by three.
Clinton still leads nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll but Rasmussen Markets data suggests the race for the nomination is essentially even.
In New Hampshire, Obama leads Clinton by five points among Democrats and by sixteen points among Independents. The survey indicates that 40% of the voters will be Independents.
Eighty percent (80%) of Obama voters say they are certain they will vote for him. Seventy-three percent (73%) of Clinton voters say the same along with 64% of Edwards supporters.
Eighty-five percent (85%) of Likely Primary Voters have a favorable opinion of Obama. Seventy-eight percent (78%) say the same about Edwards and 69% offer a positive assessment of Clinton.
Just 48% of Obama supporters have a favorable opinion of Clinton. Fifty-one percent (51%) have the opposite opinion including 22% with a Very Unfavorable opinion of the former First Lady. At the same time, 75% of Clinton supporters have a favorable opinion of Obama.
Among Edwards voters, 79% have a favorable opinion of Obama and 73% say the same about Clinton.
Obama is seen as the most electable Democratic candidate. Eighty-seven percent (87%) believe he would be at least somewhat likely to win if nominated. Seventy-six percent (76%) say the same about Clinton and 75% think Edwards would have a chance. Fifty-one percent (51%) of the Likely Democratic Primary Voters believe Obama would be Very Likely to win. Just 38% have such confidence in Clinton.
Seventy-six percent (76%) of Likely Democratic Primary Voters in New Hampshire say that Health Care is a Very Important voting issue. Seventy-three percent (73%) say the same about the economy, 70% attach the same importance to Government Ethics and Corruptions, and 69% say Iraq is a Very Important voting issue.
Rasmussen Markets data at 10:00 a.m. on Saturday morning suggest that Barack Obama has a 65% chance of winning in New Hampshire. Hillary Clinton is given a 37% chance of winning (current numbers: Obama 78.5 %, Clinton 22.3%. At that same time, Clinton and Obama were each given a 50% chance of ultimately winning the nomination (current numbers: Obama 52.5%, Clinton 47.0 %.
Gilbert comment. This election is very fluid. There are many facets to the final outcome including momentum, organization, funding etc., especially when we read that the eventual cost will reach $100 million. Victories in the early primaries can lead to endorsements and easier fundraising once you prove that you have a shot at grabbing the elusive brass ring.
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