Another Republican to run for the 1st Supervisorial District

Red County/OC Blog is reporting that OC Board of Education member Alexandria Coronado is now running for the First Supervisorial District. The field is getting crowded!


  • Janet Nguyen, Garden Grove City Council
  • Carlos Bustamante, Santa Ana Mayor Pro Tem
  • Alexandria Coronado, OC Board of Education
  • Trung Nguyen, Garden Grove School Board
  • Brett Franklin, former Santa Ana Council Member


  • Mark Rosen, Garden Grove City Council
  • Claudia Alvarez, Santa Ana City Council
  • Possibly Tom Umberg, former State Assemblyman

While Republicans hold a slight edge in this district, at 39.5% to 39.2%, the swing voters are the decline-to-state voters, with 17.7% of the total vote.

Other interesting statistics, courtesy of Red County/OC Blog, include:

  • Garden Grove and Westminster include over 50% of the voters in the district.
  • Santa Ana comes in with 45% of the voters of the district.
  • 29% of the voters are permanent absentee voters.
  • Turnout may be as low as 12%

Jubal/Matt Cunningham postulates that since absentee voters can start voting in 35 days, any candidate who hopes to win must get his message out to these key voters. He is right about that.

For the GOP to prevail in this race, some of their candidates need to drop out. Otherwise this seat will end up in the Democrat’s hands – again. And with Coronado in the race, it looks even worse for Bustamante. Particularly since Coronado has experience – and she knows how to package herself as a conservative. Already she is talking about stopping PLAs! It sounds like she took a page out of my playbook!

Bustamante is such toast – this race is only going to weaken him and make it easier to take him off the Santa Ana City Council in two years.

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"Admin" is just editors Vern Nelson, Greg Diamond, or Ryan Cantor sharing something that they mostly didn't write themselves, but think you should see. Before December 2010, "Admin" may have been former blog owner Art Pedroza.