2016’s Unsettled Races, Wed. Nov. 30 Results: Big LA Vote Changes Nothing; Measure OO Flips to NOO

By
Greg Diamond
– November 30, 2016Posted in: "The OC", Fresh Juice

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We're a week past Thanksgiving and down to the turkey leftovers of ballots. Here's a too-late guide.

We’re a week past Thanksgiving and down to the turkey leftovers of ballots. Here’s a too-late guide.  But first: headlines!

 

Registration and Turnout
Completed Precincts: 1668 of 1668
Reg/Turnout Percentage
Total Registered Voters 1,535,967
Precinct Registration 1,535,967
Precinct Ballots Cast 497,438 32.4%
Early Ballots Cast 27,516 1.8%
Vote-by-Mail Ballots Cast 694,563 45.2%
Total Ballots Cast 1,219,517 79.4%

Headlines:

  • Applegate concedes defeat; announces that he’ll run again in 2018!
  • Newman’s lead reaches 2,223.  Good number — let’s stop there!
  • Alvarez’s margin over Cano in SAUSD dips from 70 to 66 — no danger
  • Martinez stalls out behind Do
  • Anaheim District 1 frozen in amber
  • Moreno reaches 35.9733415995%, up from 35.96865544%, on 15 new votes tallied.  Margin remains at 73
  • Measure OO lead drops from 11 to -5
UNITED STATES REPRESENTATIVE 49th District
Completed Precincts: 102 of 102
Vote Count Percentage
* DARRELL ISSA (REP) 47,634 60.5%
DOUG APPLEGATE (DEM) 31,088 39.5%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

BEFORE:

Issa 47,578 107,461 155,039 50.3217%
Applegate 31,054 122,003 153,057 49.6783%

NOW:

Issa 47,634 107,548 155,182 50.3236%
Applegate 31,088 122,098 153,186 49.6764%

Issa loses 8 votes in San Diego on 182 counted, but gains 22 in OC, 56-34.  That’s just wrong.

STATE SENATOR 29th District
Completed Precincts: 400 of 400
Vote Count Percentage
JOSH NEWMAN (DEM) 120,528 50.7%
LING LING CHANG (REP) 117,370 49.3%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

LA votes came in heavily today — and barely affected the race.

BEFORE:

Chang 117,315 15,541 23,917 156,773 49.6551%
Newman 120,442 13,188 25,321 158,951 50.3449%

NOW:

Chang 117,370 15,565 24,574 157,509 49.6113%
Newman 120,528 13,226 26,223 159,977 50.3887%

Newman blasts past the 3/4 of a point win line to about 7/9 of a point.  Margin: 2,468 — who do we appreciate?  OC margin is 3,158.

Newman picks up 86 in OC to Chang’s 55, 38 in Chino Hills to Chang’s 24 — and 902 in LA to her 736!  Someone predicted that LA would go into beast mode today, but I can’t remember who….

 

SANTA ANA UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 64 of 64
Vote Count Percentage
* CECILIA “CECI” IGLESIAS 24,501 21.2%
RIGO RODRIGUEZ 21,809 18.9%
ALFONSO ALVAREZ 15,221 13.2%
ANGIE CANO 15,155 13.1%
MARK MCLOUGHLIN 13,608 11.8%
BRUCE THOMAS BAUER 13,498 11.7%
BEATRIZ “BEA” MENDOZA 11,891 10.3%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Alvarez’s lead of 70 slips down to 66.  Only 36 votes were counted, though.  It must be damaged ballots time.

County Supervisor 1st District
Completed Precincts: 209 of 209
Vote Count Percentage
* ANDREW DO 76,139 50.2%
MICHELE MARTINEZ 75,484 49.8%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Do picks up 44 to Michelle’s 43, and that’s the end of any upset comeback hopes.

CITY OF ANAHEIM Member, City Council, District 1
Completed Precincts: 30 of 30
Vote Count Percentage
DENISE BARNES 3,641 27.3%
STEVEN CHAVEZ LODGE 3,352 25.1%
LEONARD “LEN” LAHTINEN 2,854 21.4%
MARK RICHARD DANIELS 1,901 14.2%
ORLANDO PEREZ 809 6.1%
ANGEL VANSTARK 399 3.0%
FREDDY FITZGERALD CARVAJAL 397 3.0%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

With only 14 votes counted, there is very little news possible here.  Maybe if one broke in half….

CITY OF ANAHEIM Member, City Council, District 3
Completed Precincts: 20 of 20
Vote Count Percentage
JOSE F. MORENO 4,642 36.0%
JORDAN BRANDMAN 4,569 35.4%
ROBERT R. NELSON 1,903 14.7%
JENNIFER RIVERA 975 7.6%
LINDA LOBATOS 815 6.3%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Margin is stable at 73 with 15 votes counted.  Moreno goes from 35.96865544% to 35.9733415995%.  We’re thinking of calling this one.

OO-City of San Clemente, Increase in “Hotel” Guest Tax
Completed Precincts: 29 of 29
Vote Count Percentage
Yes 15,029 50.0%
No 15,034 50.0%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

From yesterday:

“‘NO’ has been getting about 2/3 of the votes recently.  So they’d need about 16 or 17 more votes to win.”

Today, 36 new votes were tallied.  That’s not keeping up the tension levels!  Of course “NO” pulls ahead, by 5.  And we are gone.

We’ll do WHAT’S LEFT TO COUNT? tomorrow, if someone reminds us…..

UPDATE, 12/1:  NO ONE DID, so to hell with it!

About Greg Diamond

Somewhat verbose attorney, semi-disabled and semi-retired, residing in northwest Brea. Occasionally ran for office against jerks who otherwise would have gonr unopposed. Got 45% of the vote against Bob Huff for State Senate in 2012; Josh Newman then won the seat in 2016. In 2014 became the first attorney to challenge OCDA Tony Rackauckas since 2002; Todd Spitzer then won that seat in 2018. Every time he's run against some rotten incumbent, the *next* person to challenge them wins! He's OK with that. Corrupt party hacks hate him. He's OK with that too. He does advise some local campaigns informally and (so far) without compensation. (If that last bit changes, he will declare the interest.) His daughter is a professional campaign treasurer. He doesn't usually know whom she and her firm represent. Whether they do so never influences his endorsements or coverage. (He does have his own strong opinions.) But when he does check campaign finance forms, he is often happily surprised to learn that good candidates he respects often DO hire her firm. (Maybe bad ones are scared off by his relationship with her, but they needn't be.)