2016’s Unsettled Races, Wed. Nov. 14’s Results (Quick, Dirty, and Up in Less Than 17 Minutes!): LOOK AT DR. ALVAREZ JUMP!

By
Greg Diamond
– November 14, 2016Posted in: "The OC", Fresh Juice

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Smile, Doctor! You turned out to be a high hurdler!

Smile, Doctor Alvarez!  It’s a long race, but today you looked like a high hurdler!

More commentary and calculations on these “unsettled races” will be forthcoming after about 7 p.m.  Here are some highlights

  • Chang extends OC lead over Newman by 220 — but other returns suggest Yorba Linda dumped in many ballots.
  • Quirk Silva continues pulling away
  • Anaheim District 1 — Barnes goes from 133 to 183!
  • Anaheim District 3 — Brandman lead drops from 312 to 279
  • Santa Ana School Board — Alfonzo Alvarez Vaults 2 Dems, Deficit Behind Angie Cano Falls from 316 to 142!

CA-49th Congressional District  (OC, SD, _, Total, %)

Issa 39,307 74,547 113,854 51.0378%
Applegate 25,422 83,802 109,224 48.9622%

More than 25,000 votes counted and this one stayed the same up through the third decimal place.

 

STATE SENATOR 29th District
Completed Precincts: 400 of 400
Vote Count Percentage
LING LING CHANG (REP) 91,825 51.1%
JOSH NEWMAN (DEM) 87,785 48.9%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

No new votes reported today.

 

MEMBER OF THE STATE ASSEMBLY 65th District
Completed Precincts: 282 of 282
Vote Count Percentage
SHARON QUIRK-SILVA (DEM) 56,159 51.0%
* YOUNG KIM (REP) 53,984 49.0%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Kim picks up 3,861 new votes; SQS picks up 4,263 — and another quarter of a percentage point.

 

RANCHO SANTIAGO COMMUNITY COLLEGE DISTRICT Governing Board Member, Trustee Area 5
Completed Precincts: 24 of 24
Vote Count Percentage
* CLAUDIA C. ALVAREZ 5,787 41.8%
STEVEN A. NGUYEN 5,347 38.6%
CECILIA “CECI” AGUINAGA 2,727 19.7%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Alvarez extends her lead by more than 1%.  Looks like she’ll get the late breaking ballots.

 

SOUTH ORANGE COUNTY COMMUNITY COLLEGE DISTRICT Governing Board Member, Trustee Area 4, Short Term
Completed Precincts: 534 of 534
Vote Count Percentage
* TERRI WHITT 85,226 34.9%
JOHN ALPAY 82,810 33.9%
JIM LEACH 76,251 31.2%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

More than 20,000 votes counted over the weekend — and Alpay narrows it from 2,646 to 2,416.  It’s not moving quickly enough for him.

 

BREA OLINDA UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 32 of 32
Vote Count Percentage
PAUL RUIZ 6,499 21.9%
* GAIL LYONS 6,101 20.6%
* KEVIN J. HOBBY 5,017 16.9%
* RODNEY “ROD” TODD 4,809 16.2%
JASON KRAFT 4,439 15.0%
JOSEPH COVEY 2,770 9.3%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Hobby picks up another 20 over Todd out of 1,800 more votes tallied.

 

SANTA ANA UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 64 of 64
Vote Count Percentage
* CECILIA “CECI” IGLESIAS 15,680 20.8%
RIGO RODRIGUEZ 13,808 18.3%
ANGIE CANO 9,824 13.0%
ALFONSO ALVAREZ 9,682 12.8%
MARK MCLOUGHLIN 9,544 12.6%
BRUCE THOMAS BAUER 9,434 12.5%
BEATRIZ “BEA” MENDOZA 7,542 10.0%

With 8,900 more votes counted, Alvarez leapfrogs forward over McLoughlin, while Bauer leapfrogs over him backwards.

 

BUENA PARK SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member, Trustee Area 4
Completed Precincts: 6 of 6
Vote Count Percentage
* L. CAROLE JENSEN 586 50.9%
IRENE CASTANEDA 566 49.1%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

The percentage margin in this one just quadrupled.  In absolute terms, it increased by six votes.

 

CENTRALIA SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member, Trustee Area 3
Completed Precincts: 12 of 12
Vote Count Percentage
ELIZABETH “LIZ” GONZALEZ 1,292 52.5%
IRV TRINKLE 1,167 47.5%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

After a bad few days, Mr. Trinkle comes back with 36 to Liz’s 26.

 

OCEAN VIEW SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 50 of 50
Vote Count Percentage
* GINA CLAYTON-TARVIN 16,162 34.8%
NORM WESTWELL 10,055 21.7%
PATRICIA SINGER 9,120 19.7%
KATHRYN GONZALEZ 5,763 12.4%
AMALIA LAM 5,281 11.4%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Westwell gains 1,045 votes.  Singer gains 934,

 

County Supervisor 1st District
Completed Precincts: 209 of 209
Vote Count Percentage
* ANDREW DO 56,896 52.8%
MICHELE MARTINEZ 50,934 47.2%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Do gains 5,544 votes; Martinez gains 5,653.  Unfortunately for her, 109 votes a day won’t come close — but this could be a sign of a bigger shift towards Latinos in late voting.

 

CITY OF ANAHEIM Member, City Council, District 1
Completed Precincts: 30 of 30
Vote Count Percentage
DENISE BARNES 2,590 28.0%
STEVEN CHAVEZ LODGE 2,407 26.0%
LEONARD “LEN” LAHTINEN 1,971 21.3%
MARK RICHARD DANIELS 1,293 14.0%
ORLANDO PEREZ 487 5.3%
ANGEL VANSTARK 248 2.7%
FREDDY FITZGERALD CARVAJAL 244 2.6%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

It’s not just that Barnes’s lead over Lodge grew from 133 to 183; it’s that Lodge’s lead over Lahtinen fell from 448 to 436.  But note that only 618 votes were counted since Friday in this district.  Also note that the two pro-subsidy candidates got a combined 47.3% of the vote while the five anti-subsidy candidates got 52.6%.

 

CITY OF ANAHEIM Member, City Council, District 3
Completed Precincts: 20 of 20
Vote Count Percentage
JORDAN BRANDMAN 3,351 37.2%
JOSE F. MORENO 3,072 34.1%
ROBERT R. NELSON 1,419 15.8%
JENNIFER RIVERA 635 7.0%
LINDA LOBATOS 531 5.9%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Brandman’s lead over Moreno falls from 312 to 279 — that’s 33 votes — on 947 votes counted.  At that rate, he’d need about 8,000 more votes in the district to pass Brandman, which is unlikely.  Moreno’s vote-gain per vote-counted ratio might be about to improve, though, as we move to provisionals — although we may not know those initial results until Wednesday.

 

CITY OF BREA City Treasurer
Completed Precincts: 35 of 35
Vote Count Percentage
* RICK RIOS 6,880 52.2%
GEORGE ULLRICH 6,294 47.8%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

More votes, no changes.

 

CITY OF COSTA MESA Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 66 of 66
Vote Count Percentage
* SANDRA L. “SANDY” GENIS 13,409 18.8%
JOHN STEPHENS 13,331 18.7%
ALLAN R. MANSOOR 11,436 16.0%
* STEVE MENSINGER 11,040 15.5%
JAY HUMPHREY 10,902 15.3%
LEE RAMOS 7,675 10.8%
AL MELONE 3,599 5.0%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Mansoor’s advantage over Mensinger falls from 414 to 396.  Mensinger’s advantage over Humphrey grows from 112 to 138.  That’s on 4,695 new votes counted.

CITY OF FULLERTON Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 79 of 79
Vote Count Percentage
* JENNIFER FITZGERALD 15,734 17.4%
* BRUCE WHITAKER 13,045 14.4%
JESUS SILVA 12,403 13.7%
LARRY BENNETT 11,520 12.8%
JANE RANDS 8,829 9.8%
JONATHAN MANSOORI 6,234 6.9%
SUSAN GAPINSKI 5,966 6.6%
JOE IMBRIANO 5,340 5.9%
JOSHUA FERGUSON 3,460 3.8%
CHARLES SARGEANT 3,378 3.7%
ROBERTA REID 2,989 3.3%
HERBERT GLAZIER 1,382 1.5%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Jesus Silva gains 1,090 to Larry Bennett’s 1,045.  That’s worth a tenth of a percent.

 

CITY OF GARDEN GROVE Member, City Council, District 6
Completed Precincts: 10 of 10
Vote Count Percentage
KIM BERNICE NGUYEN 2,219 57.4%
RICKK MONTOYA 1,644 42.6%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Still waiting.

 

IRVINE CITY COUNCIL

We’re not putting this one on the board yet, but: Anthony Kuo just gained some significant ground on Melissa Fox.

 

CITY OF LAGUNA BEACH Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 22 of 22
Vote Count Percentage
* BOB WHALEN 5,718 33.1%
* STEVE DICTEROW 4,403 25.5%
VERNA ROLLINGER 4,043 23.4%
JUDIE MANCUSO 3,104 18.0%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any
CITY OF LAKE FOREST Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 39 of 39
Vote Count Percentage
LEAH BASILE 11,149 27.0%
* DWIGHT ROBINSON 8,070 19.6%
* ADAM NICK 7,894 19.1%
FRANCISCO BARAJAS 6,275 15.2%
FRANK WAGONER 5,541 13.4%
FARH SEMNANI 2,297 5.6%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Nick falls back by 8 more votes!

 

CITY OF LOS ALAMITOS Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 10 of 10
Vote Count Percentage
JOSH WILSON 2,177 38.0%
* RICHARD D. MURPHY 1,821 31.8%
* DEAN GROSE 1,732 30.2%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Grose falls back by 5 more votes!

 

CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH Member, City Council, District 5
Completed Precincts: 63 of 63
Vote Count Percentage
JEFF HERDMAN 10,625 36.1%
LEE LOWREY 9,878 33.5%
MIKE GLENN 8,940 30.4%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

I shouldn’t have put all of that money on Mike Glenn.

 

CITY OF PLACENTIA Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 25 of 25
Vote Count Percentage
WARD L. SMITH 6,042 16.5%
* JEREMY B. YAMAGUCHI 5,845 15.9%
RHONDA SHADER 4,616 12.6%
CHRIS BUNKER 4,593 12.5%
THOMAS M. (TOM) SOLOMONSON 4,451 12.1%
KEVIN KIRWIN 3,728 10.2%
ROBERT MCKINNELL 3,474 9.5%
FABIAN O. FRAGIAO 2,392 6.5%
BLAKE MONTERO 1,510 4.1%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Rhonda throws a little more shade on Bunker.

 

CITY OF SAN CLEMENTE Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 29 of 29
Vote Count Percentage
* CHRIS HAMM 12,101 28.6%
STEVEN SWARTZ 9,773 23.1%
DAN BANE 9,450 22.4%
* ROBERT “BOB” BAKER 9,330 22.1%
PAMELA JOY GLASS 1,616 3.8%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Bane actually lost a little ground to Swartz — but Baker had a terrible day.

 

Santa Ana District 5 — we’re calling it for Villegas over Reyna

 

CITY OF SEAL BEACH Member, City Council, District 2
Completed Precincts: 7 of 7
Vote Count Percentage
THOMAS MOORE 1,172 51.2%
RONDE WINKLER 1,118 48.8%

He got Moore votes today.

 

CITY OF VILLA PARK Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 5 of 5
Vote Count Percentage
VINCE ROSSINI 1,527 34.3%
ROBERT (ROBBIE) PITTS 1,509 33.9%
HOWARD KIRSCHNER 1,410 31.7%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Pretty static.

 

CITY OF YORBA LINDA Member, City Council
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 41 of 41
Vote Count Percentage
TARA CAMPBELL 12,330 19.8%
* EUGENE J. “GENE” HERNANDEZ 10,686 17.2%
BETH HANEY 9,633 15.5%
* CRAIG YOUNG 9,335 15.0%
CRISTY LOMENZO PARKER 8,014 12.9%
RYAN SMITH 6,956 11.2%
PAUL E. DIPPOLITO 5,182 8.3%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Pretty stable.

 

MIDWAY CITY SANITARY DISTRICT Director
Number To Vote For: 2
Completed Precincts: 39 of 39
Vote Count Percentage
* AL KRIPPNER 9,635 26.2%
* JOY L. NEUGEBAUER 8,570 23.3%
CHI CHARLIE NGUYEN 8,525 23.2%
ANITA A. RICE 5,346 14.5%
SAMANTHA BAO ANH NGUYEN 4,696 12.8%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Nada mas.

 

EL TORO WATER DISTRICT Director
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 30 of 30
Vote Count Percentage
* JOSE VERGARA 9,665 27.0%
* SCOTT GOLDMAN 9,211 25.7%
* MARK MONIN 8,616 24.0%
KATHRYN FRESHLEY 8,364 23.3%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any
SOUTH COAST WATER DISTRICT Director
Number To Vote For: 3
Completed Precincts: 26 of 26
Vote Count Percentage
* RICK ERKENEFF 4,963 19.8%
* WAYNE RAYFIELD 4,782 19.1%
DOUGLAS A. ERDMAN 4,561 18.2%
ROBERT W. (BOB) MOORE 3,853 15.4%
BOB OAKLEY 3,746 15.0%
JULIE A. SIMER 3,118 12.5%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Nothin’.

 

Candidates to succeed Gary T. Melton as Yorba Linda Water District Director,
Completed Precincts: 59 of 59
Vote Count Percentage
ALBERT M. NEDERHOOD 12,757 51.7%
ROBERT W. “BOB” WREN 11,911 48.3%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Nederhood expands the gap.

 

MUNICIPAL WATER DISTRICT OF ORANGE COUNTY Director, Division 4
Completed Precincts: 206 of 206
Vote Count Percentage
* JOAN FINNEGAN 38,146 44.0%
KELLY ROWE 34,241 39.5%
TIM BEAMAN 14,371 16.6%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Finnegan expands the gap.

 

K-Brea Olinda Unified School District, Classroom Education/Student Safety Measure
Completed Precincts: 32 of 32
Vote Count Percentage
Bonds – Yes 6,560 48.5%
Bonds – No 6,960 51.5%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

Nothin’.

 

GG-City of Cypress, Cypress Town Center and Commons Specific Plan
Completed Precincts: 32 of 32
Vote Count Percentage
Yes 7,723 48.3%
No 8,260 51.7%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

No expands the gap.

 

OO-City of San Clemente, Increase in “Hotel” Guest Tax
Completed Precincts: 29 of 29
Vote Count Percentage
Yes 12,851 50.6%
No 12,565 49.4%

* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any

No picks up a little, but it took a lot of votes to do it.

 

About Greg Diamond

Somewhat verbose attorney, semi-disabled and semi-retired, residing in northwest Brea. Occasionally ran for office against jerks who otherwise would have gonr unopposed. Got 45% of the vote against Bob Huff for State Senate in 2012; Josh Newman then won the seat in 2016. In 2014 became the first attorney to challenge OCDA Tony Rackauckas since 2002; Todd Spitzer then won that seat in 2018. Every time he's run against some rotten incumbent, the *next* person to challenge them wins! He's OK with that. Corrupt party hacks hate him. He's OK with that too. He does advise some local campaigns informally and (so far) without compensation. (If that last bit changes, he will declare the interest.) His daughter is a professional campaign treasurer. He doesn't usually know whom she and her firm represent. Whether they do so never influences his endorsements or coverage. (He does have his own strong opinions.) But when he does check campaign finance forms, he is often happily surprised to learn that good candidates he respects often DO hire her firm. (Maybe bad ones are scared off by his relationship with her, but they needn't be.)