Who & What is on the March 5 “Primary” Ballot?

Voting for the March 5 “primary”* election — early this year because our state leaders want to be on Super Tuesday — will start in a couple of weeks, so it’s time to take a look at that ballot! *[Vern insists on using quotes on “primary” since this month is the first and only election for several important races.]

[OJ priorities this month: Barbara Lee, Dr. Nancy Watkins, Recall Ledesma & Miner,
Frances Marquez, NO on HB Measures,
Bea Mendoza, David Johnson, Allyson Damikolas, Derek Tran, Joanna Weiss.]

1. What Kinds of Elections Will Occur?

Knowing what kinds of elections will occur helps you determine what margin is required for victory — or even for moving along to a runoff round.

PARTY-NOMINATED – President, and Party Delegates.

Each party has its own rules for (1) who can vote for its nominee to the office of President, (2) who can vote for delegate to the party’s central committee (3) what (if any) district a delegate would represent. The Presidential race falls in this category, it isn’t much of one this year — so we’ll list this category last.

VOTER-NOMINATED

All of the federal and state legislative races in this category below are “Top Two” primaries. That means that the top two vote-getters will proceed to a runoff in November. In the event that only one candidate files for election, the top write-in candidate can win — even with (unless this has changed) one vote. Only if no on-ballot or write-in candidate claims a spot in the primary is the election decided in the primary.

  • U.S. Senator Partial Unexpired Term and /Unexpired Term & Full Term (Laphonza Butler was appointed to shortly after Dianne Feinstein’s death to serve for the period between then and certification of the results of the special “full-term” election noted below, which will decide who will serve during the period between election certification and the end of that Feinstein Senate term on January 3, 2025.)
  • Representative in Congress – all districts
  • State Senator, 37th District
  • Member of the Assembly – all districts

NONPARTISAN

  • Judicial – Offices No. 3, 16 & 35 — each race will be decided in March!

(NOTE: I realize that I forgot to notify readers that the filing deadline for judicial races was coming up because it’s set so incredibly early. It’s sort of set up so that those who need to know, know. This year, only three races are on the ballot — which usually means that three judges have vacated their seats, and the Orange County Bar is pretty hostile to anyone challenging an active judge (with which I disagree in principle, but also think is usually a pretty good thing).)

  • School – County Board of Education – NO RUNOFF! (Areas 1, 3 & 5)

I break out this election for commentary because it is the only one in which there is no runoff and plurality wins. So this becomes an occasion for mischief, such as putting up extra candidates to split the vote. This year there is a progressive slate to take on some atrocious incumbents, so you’ll need to memorize a candidate’s name (if you’re in one of these districts and ACCEPT NO SUBSTITUTIONS David Johnson, Beatriz Mendoza & Dr. Nancy Watkins!

  • Orange Unified School District (OUSD) Trustee Recall Election – Madison Miner & Rick Ledesma

A majority vote required to remove. Under the “Newman Reforms,” we have no replacement candidates and a recalled candidate will be replaced by a vote of the remaining members of the Board. (You’ll hear this mentioned in my foul-mouthed commentary on the recall of Anaheim’s Natalie Rubalcava.)

  • County Supervisors – 1st District and 3rd District.

As with most city officers elected this year, it takes a majority to avoid a runoff.

State Proposition – Proposition 1

Local Measures

  • A – City of Huntington Beach, Charter Amendment Measure 1
  • B – City of Huntington Beach, Charter Amendment Measure 2
  • C – City of Huntington Beach, Charter Amendment Measure 3
  • D – City of Irvine, Charter Amendment to Expand City Council and Establish City Council Districts
  • E – City of Westminster, Westminster Safety, Services Stabilization Measure 

AND NOW, the moment you’ve been waiting for…

YOUR CANDIDATES!

These lists are all taken from the OC Registrar of Voters site (the 10 year history of registration report) as of the evening of January 21. (More will likely be added.) All tables list candidates alphabetically by first name; it’s not my choice.

United States Senator (Partial/Unexpired Term)

CandidateParty PreferenceCountyTimeframe
Adam B. SchiffDemocraticLos Angeles2013-2023
Barbara LeeDemocraticAlameda2013-2023
Christina PascucciDemocraticLos Angeles2019-2023
David PetersonDemocraticContra Costa
Nevada
Contra Costa
2022-2023
2016-2022
2013-2016
Denice Gary-PandolRepublicanKern2013-2023
Don J. GrundmannNo Party Preference (prev. Alameda)Santa Clara2017-2023
Douglas H. PierceDemocratic (GOP until ’15) Los Angeles2015-2023
Eric EarlyRepublican (Amer. Ind. until ’15)Los Angeles2013-2023
Forrest JonesAmerican Independent (GOP pre ’15) Tulare2015-2023
Gail LightfootLibertarianSan Luis Obispo2013-2023
Harmesh KumarDemocraticContra Costa2013-2023
James BradleyRepublicanOrange2013-2023
James “Jim” MacauleyRepublicanSacramento
Prev. got around a Lot
2022-2023
John RoseDemocraticSonoma2013-2023
Jonathan ReissRepublicanRiverside2013-2023
Katie PorterDemocraticOrange2013-2023
Laura GarzaNo Party Preference (prev. out of state)Los Angeles2016-2023
Major SinghNo Party PreferenceAlameda2013-2023
Mark RuzonNo Party Preference (Dem until ’16)Santa Clara2016-2023
Martin VeprauskasRepublicanSan Diego2013-2023
Perry PoundDemocraticLos Angeles2013-2023
Raji RabDemocraticLos Angeles2013-2023
Sarah Sun LiewRepublicanSan Bernardino2013-2023
Sepi GilaniDemocratic (prev. out of state)San Diego2015-2023
Sharleta BassettRepublicanButte2013-2023
Stefan SimchowitzRepublican (prev. NPP)Los Angeles2023-2023
Steve GarveyRepublicanRiverside2013-2023

Preview
: Vern and I are both pro-Barbara Lee and (less so) Katie Porter; we’d both vote for Schiff over anyone besides them in the runoff. Republicans would be better off voting for a serious candidate, 2022 nominee Eric Early, than for deeply unserious “stunt candidate” Steve Garvey.


Vern says: I think for the sake of the Senate race(s) alone, I’ll put off my vote till March, to see how Barbara is doing in the polls – I prefer Barbara but might end up voting for Katie, just to not be stuck with the choice between the conservative Adam Schiff and right-wing clown Steve Garvey!

United States Senator (Full Term)

CandidateParty Preference
Adam B. Schiff (D)Democratic
Barbara Lee (D)Democratic
Christina Pascucci (D)Democratic
David Peterson (D)Democratic
Denice Gary-Pandol (R)Republican
Don J. GrundmannNo Party Preference
Douglas H. Pierce (D)Democratic
Eric Early (R)Republican
Forrest Jones (AI)American Independent
Gail LightfootLibertarian
Harmesh Kumar (D)Democratic
James Bradley (R)Republican
James “Jim” Macauley (R)Republican
John Rose (D)Democratic
Jonathan Reiss (R)Republican
Katie Porter (D)Democratic
Laura GarzaNo Party Preference
Major SinghNo Party Preference
Mark RuzonNo Party Preference
Martin VeprauskasRepublican
Perry Pound (D)Democratic
Raji Rab (D)Democratic
Sarah Sun LiewRepublican
Sepi Gilani (D)Democratic
Sharleta BassettRepublican
Stefan SimchowitzRepublican
Steve GarveyRepublican

Preview
: Same Lee > Porter > Schiff ranking here. I’m thinking about voting Lee for the partial term — so that she gets her
get elected to the U.S. Senate” merit badge to cap off her career — and Porter for the Full-Term. Your thoughts on that are welcome! Republicans, again, Early over Garvey.

Vern – see above!

United States Representative District 38

CandidateParty PreferenceCountyTimeframe
Eric J. ChingRepublicanLos Angeles2018-2023
 No Party PreferenceLos Angeles2013-2018
John SaregaRepublicanLos Angeles2013-2023
Linda T. SánchezDemocraticLos Angeles2013-2023
Robert Zhang OchoaRepublicanLos Angeles2013-2023

Preview: Sánchez vs. Ching is a rematch of 2022 — and we’re still for Linda.

United States Representative District 40

CandidateParty Preference County Timeframe
Allyson Muñiz DamikolasDemocraticOrange 2013-2023
Joe KerrDemocraticOrange 2013-2023
Young KimRepublicanOrange 2013-2023

Preview: Joe Kerr has some fine qualities (how many, we don’t wish to debate here) but he is neither a good candidate nor a competent campaigner and Young Kim would reduce him to barely smoldering ash. Damikolas is a proven winner and a vibrant speaker with a good platform; she has a shot at winning. Kerr, an inveterate carpetbagger, should find an uncontested Congressional race somewhere and run there. Do the party a service! [Vern would change that first sentence to “Joe Kerr presumably has some fine qualities.”]

United States Representative District 45

CandidateParty Preference   CountyTimeframe
Aditya PaiDemocraticOrange2013-2023
Cheyenne HuntDemocraticOrange2013-2023
Derek TranDemocratic (with two brief NPP interludes,
probably for strategic voting reasons)
Orange2013-2023
Kim Bernice Nguyen-PenalozaDemocraticOrange2013-2023
Michelle SteelRepublicanOrange2013-2023

Preview: You have to like Michelle Steel’s chances to make the runoff here! But against whom? Aditya Pai doesn’t likely have a chance. Cheyenne Hunt probably doesn’t have much of a chance either, and probably couldn’t win, but she’s sending me a bunch of emails (probably others as well) and they’re pretty good! I had thought KBNP was likely the establishment favorite, but apparently DPOC and 2022 candidate Jay Chen have both endorsed Derek Tran — and that’s a good sign!

United States Representative District 46

CandidateParty Preference County Timeframe
David PanRepublicanOrange 2023-2023
 DemocraticOrange 2013-2023
Lou CorreaDemocraticOrange 2013-2023

Preview: I’m printing the entire chart here because, as I’ve been saying for years, a basically Democrat running as a Republican is likely the only way to beat Lou Correa without a fortune or an eye-blistering Correa scandal. If David Pan convinces the Republican Party that he’d carry their flag — and Correa is so far right wing that they may not want to be convinced — then Republicans and progressives could put Correa into a second Biden Administration where he belongs. When asked to endorse Trump, the proper answer is that such an endorsement is pointless in California and you want to see how the trials go. I think that the Republicans might let that slide — unless Lou gets to them.

United States Representative District 47

CandidateParty PreferenceCountyTimeframe
Bill SmithNPP, prev. GOP before Trump term and Dem after it Orange2023-2023
Boyd RobertsDemocratic (prev. Riverside)Orange2016-2023
Dave MinDemocraticOrange2013-2023
Joanna WeissDemocraticOrange2013-2023
Long PhamRepublicanOrange2013-2023
Max UkropinaRepublicanOrange2013-2023
Scott BaughRepublicanOrange2013-2023
Shariq ZaidiDemocratic (NPP until ’16)Orange2016-2023
Terry L. CrandallNo Party PreferenceOrange2013-2023
Tom McGrathNo Party Preference (*except Dem from 2020-22)Orange2013-2023*

Preview: First. hats off to Bill Smith, Shariq Zaidi, and Tom McGrath, whose party registration histories document some of the various ways that Trump has affected reasonable voters. Now all three of them ought to drop out and take Boyd Roberts with them. Only five candidates should play a role in this race for Katie Porter’s open seat: Weiss, Min, Pham, Baugh, and Ukropina — because we do need one true wingnut in the race and he also reminds me Preview: First. hats off to Bill Smith, Shariq Zaidi, and Tom McGrath, each of whose party affiliation history in various ways document the effect that Trump has had upon reasonable voters. Now all three of them ought to drop out — and take Boyd Roberts with them. Only five candidates should play a role in this race for Katie Porter’s open seat: Dave Min, Joana Weiss, Long Pham, Scott Baugh and Max Ukropina — not only because he’s an unapologetic wingnut but also because he reminds me of my single favorite placekicking fail ever. It will probably be Baugh vs. Weiss or Min in the runoff — and Katie’s endorsement of Min is one reason why every time I think of it I tilt another half a degree towards Barbara Lee.. It will probably be Baugh vs. Weiss or Min in the runoff — and Katie’s endorsement of Min is one reason why every time I think of it I tilt towards Barbara Lee. another half of a degree.

United States Representative District 49

CandidateParty PreferenceCountyTimeframe
Kate MonroeRepublicanSan Diego2013-2023
Margarita WilkinsonRepublicanSan Diego2013-2023
Matt GundersonRepublicanOrange2013-2023
Mike LevinDemocraticOrange2013-2023
Sheryl AdamsRepublican (not in CA pre-17)San Diego2017-2023

Preview: I’d bet heavily on incumbent Mike Levin making the runoff, har-har. The notion of his opponent being Matt Gunderson is depressing, except that Levin has already show that he can beat him in a lower turnout non-Presidential year, so this year should be easier. So I think that Republican voters should support one of the San Diego candidates — but I’m still trying to decide which and am open the suggestions.

State Senate District 37

CandidateParty PreferenceCountyTimeframe
Alex MohajerDemocratic (mostly LA, sometimes OC)Orange2023-2023
Anthony C KuoRepublicanOrange2013-2023
Crystal MilesRepublicanOrange2013-2023
Gabrielle AshbaughDemocratic (GOP ’22, NPP ’19-21, born ’99?)Orange2023-2023
Guy SelleckRepublican (prev. GOP, NPP, Libertarian)Orange2023-2023
Jacob Niles CreerDemocraticOrange2013-2023
Jenny SuarezDemocratic (NPP ’13-’23)Orange2023-2023
Josh NewmanDemocraticOrange2013-2023
Leticia CorreaDemocratic (unregistered until ’21, then NPP)Orange2023-2023
Stephanie LeDemocraticOrange2013-2023
Steven “Steve” ChoiRepublicanOrange2013-2023

Preview: Everyone but Josh Newman, Alex Mohajer, Stephen Choi, and Anthony Kuoget out of the pool! You’re just going to take votes away from your side and possibly throw the election to party you like less. Newman is the incumbent in a district seemingly drawn specifically to destroy him. (Seriously, this map should have drawn a lawsuit.) Mohajer is pushing his intersectionality being young, Iranian, queer, etc. In a different election that might have mattered, but here he’s running against one of our best current State Senators. (He may also want to try for some other elected office this fall, to prove his electoral aptitude.) Choi probably has an advantage over Kuo, but the junior varsity candidates seriously could tilt this into being a two-Dem or two Reep runoff. Is that what they want to accomplish?

State Assembly Member District 59

CandidateParty PreferenceCountyTimeframe
Dave ObrandDemocraticOrange2015-2023
 DemocraticLos Angeles2013-2015
Phillip ChenRepublicanOrange2016-2023
 RepublicanLos Angeles2013-2016

I know that I shouldn’t say this, but my Representative Phillip Chen is probably as reasonable of a Republican candidate as will be on a non-Presidential race this year. (And I don’t say that just because I need to call his office about a bill I want introduced to allow gigantic tricks who park in compact spaces to be claimed by the first person to call in to the local police.) I don’t know as much about Dave Obrand, for whom I’ll probably, but it’s nice to have a race that doesn’t nauseate me.

State Assembly Member District 64

CandidateParty PreferenceCountyTimeframe
Blanca PachecoDemocraticLos Angeles2013-2023
Raul Ortiz Jr.RepublicanLos Angeles2013-2023

Preview: Another 2022 rematch — and Pacheco will smoke him once again.

State Assembly Member District 67

CandidateParty PreferenceCounty Timeframe
Elizabeth “Beth” CulverRepublicanOrange 2013-2023
Jacob Woo Ho LeeCame to CA in ’18, GOP until
’23 — now NPP? Splain that!
Orange 2023-2023
Sharon Quirk-SilvaDemocraticOrange 2013-2023

Preview: Most likely we’ll see SQS v. Culver in the runoff. Lee probably figured out that he wasn’t getting either party endorsement … so why not claim to be fiercely independent?

State Assembly Member District 68

CandidateParty PreferenceCounty Timeframe
Avelino ValenciaDemocraticOrange 2013-2023
Mike TardifRepublicanOrange 2013-2023

Preview: Another 2022 rematch. Tardif will no longer have the element of <s>shock</s> surprise on his side against Valencia.

State Assembly Member District 70

CandidateParty PreferenceCounty Timeframe
Jimmy D. PhamDemocratic (newly) prev. 10 years was NPP) Orange 2023-2023
Tri TaRepublicanOrange 2013-2023

Preview: Is simply switching from NPP to Dem enough for us to favor Pham over Tri Ta? Stay tuned! (Hey, Vern, where’s our Jimmy Phan file?)

State Assembly Member District 71

CandidateParty PreferenceCountyTimeframe
Babar KhanPeace and FreedomRiverside2023-2023
 RepublicanRiverside2020-2023
 Not-eligible to be registered 2013-2020
Gary KephartDemocraticOrange2013-2023
Kate SanchezRepublicanOrange2013-2023

Preview: It’s not every day that you see a candidate become eligible (I’m guessing it was new citizenship, in which case congratulations, Babar!), spend three years as a Republican, and then switch to Peace & Freedom. But it is almost every day that you don’t. Incumbent Sanchez has an advantage in this district, but Kephart has taken on this sort of “show the flag” campaign before — and he knows that “slaughtered” is just an overdramatic metaphor.

State Assembly Member District 72

CandidateParty Preference
Diane DixonRepublican
Dom JonesDemocratic

Preview: We’ll probably show a lot of pictures of these polar opposite candidates in this race. Obviously, we’ll favor Dom.

State Assembly Member District 73

CandidateParty PreferenceCounty Timeframe
Cottie Petrie-NorrisDemocraticOrange 2013-2023
Hengameh AbrahamRepublicanOrange 2020-2023
 American IndependentOrange 2020-2020
 No Party PreferenceOrange 2018-2020
 DemocraticOrange 2013-2018
Scotty PeotterRepublicanOrange 2013-2023

Preview: OJB is resolved to determine whether this Peotter has ever called himself “Scotty” in print prior to running against Cottie — “Cottie vs. Scotty”! I’d go with Cottie — against the purists, because while her voting record can be frustrating it really does reflect her district. Abraham’s political evolution looks … wow, interesting.

State Assembly Member District 74

CandidateParty PreferenceCountyTimeframe
Chris DuncanDemocraticOrange2020-2023
 DemocraticAlameda2016-2019
 DemocraticSan Diego2013-2015
Laurie DaviesRepublicanOrange2013-2023

Preview: This is an interesting race between experienced politicians. Duncan over Davies is the easy part; coming up with decent jokes about the race will take some thought.

JUDGES

For Office 3, I do get to vote for Dan Jacobson, of the mainstream Democratic Foundation of Orange County, after all! That’s because he’s running against a OC Deputy District Attorney named Jason Baez. Diversify OC’s Judicial Bench!

For Office 15, I will vote for Binh Dang, who not only is not an OC Deputy DA like his opponent Richard Zimmer, but who is a Deputy Public Defender in Los Angeles County! Now that’s really diversifying the bench!

For Office 35, I expect to vote for Daniel Kern, because he’s running against an OC Deputy District Attorney named Whitney Bokosky. Diversify the Judicial Bench! (But I want to read up on him and check his OC Bar Association ratings first.)

BALLOT MEASURES

A – City of Huntington Beach, Charter Amendment Measure 1 — NOOOOOO!

B – City of Huntington Beach, Charter Amendment Measure 2 — NOOOOOO!

C – City of Huntington Beach, Charter Amendment Measure 3 — NOOOOOO!

D – City of Irvine, Charter Amendment to Expand City Council and Establish City
      Council Districts — YEEEEEEESSSSS!

E – City of Westminster, Westminster Safety, Services Stabilization Measure  — WE’LL SEEEEEEE!

STATE MEASURE 1 — More beds, housing, mental health treatment — and $6.4 Billion in Bonds.

PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES

Democratic Party

Joe Biden
President Boddie
Eban Cambridge
Gabriel Cornejo
Stephen Lyons Sr.
Armando Perez-Serrato
Dean Phillips
Marianne Williamson

Preview: Those of you that must vote for Marianne Williamson, go ahead. Those of you who think you must vote for Dean Phillips, vote for someone else. (He wants to claim delegates from New Hampshire, because Biden had the guts to finally remove New Hampshire from its “first primary” status, just like Hillary tried to do with the illegally held Michigan primary when she ran against Obama in 2008. Bad then, bad not.) Everyone else should, yes, vote for Biden. But if you can’t, I have a recommendation as to whom I’d vote for if I didn’t care about Biden looking strong: Eben Cambridge. Gabriel Cornejo has a sweet story about his religious motivations, if that’s for you, but Cambridge has a platform that’s worth plagiarizing!

Republican Party

Candidate
Ryan Binkley
Chris Christie
Ron DeSantis
Nikki Haley
Asa Hutchinson
Vivek Ramaswamy
David James Stuckenberg
Rachel Hannah Swift
Donald Trump

Preview: If Nikki Haley is still in the race, vote for her. If not, vote for Chris Christie if he gets back in. If neither, vote for Asa Hutchinson. Basically, anyone whose votes will count for something — and that’s probably going to be Haley.

Third Parties

Preview: This is really not the year for it. Greens will vote for Jill Stein; Peace & Freedomers will probably vote for Cornell West (although they should vote for Jasmine Sherman to support a Black woman or Claudia de la Cruz if they want a bona fide old-school Marxist-Leninist.) Libertarians will vote for, uh, Charles Ballay. This will once again be a year to make gentlepersons’ agreements with third-party oriented voters in swing states that you’ll support their third party candidate if they’ll agree to vote for Joe Biden where it matters.

PARTY DELEGATES!

We … don’t know yet. Are you running? Do you want an endorsement for your run? Ask for it in comments! Want to publicize your run? Go ahead, within reason! Know of any officeholder-created slates? Tell us about them so we can denounce them!

All I have in front of me are the Central Committee Member candidates for the 59th Assembly District. I’ll vote enthusiastically for Lourdes Cruz and Isabella Rubio, happily for Elizabeth Galindo and Izeah Garcia, and also for Eugene Fields because of who he isn’t.

About Greg Diamond

Somewhat verbose attorney, semi-disabled and semi-retired, residing in northwest Brea. Occasionally ran for office against jerks who otherwise would have gonr unopposed. Got 45% of the vote against Bob Huff for State Senate in 2012; Josh Newman then won the seat in 2016. In 2014 became the first attorney to challenge OCDA Tony Rackauckas since 2002; Todd Spitzer then won that seat in 2018. Every time he's run against some rotten incumbent, the *next* person to challenge them wins! He's OK with that. Corrupt party hacks hate him. He's OK with that too. He does advise some local campaigns informally and (so far) without compensation. (If that last bit changes, he will declare the interest.) His daughter is a professional campaign treasurer. He doesn't usually know whom she and her firm represent. Whether they do so never influences his endorsements or coverage. (He does have his own strong opinions.) But when he does check campaign finance forms, he is often happily surprised to learn that good candidates he respects often DO hire her firm. (Maybe bad ones are scared off by his relationship with her, but they needn't be.)