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What does that even mean, that Sharon Quirk-Silva is “FULLY FUNDED by SEXUAL PREDATORS?” It must mean SOMETHING, Alexandria Coronado repeated it twice with EMPHASIS ON EACH WORD. It seems to me it could only mean two things: Either:
- A certain number of sexual predators gave Sharon ALL THEY HAD, or else
- EVERYBODY WHO DONATED TO SHARON – including you and me – is a sexual predator, and – as the kind soul who sent me this video observed – we should all turn ourselves in.
And as Alex emphasizes at the 1:45 mark, “Every time you hear or see the name Sharon Quirk Silva, KNOW. THAT IT IS FULLY FUNDED BY SEXUAL PREDATORS. Please vote for Alexandria Coronado and let’s bring some class back to Sacramento. Thank you.” If only all the voters of the 65th Assembly District could have heard those words in time!
Other goodness in this last-minute GOTV video:
- First five minutes dominated by Trumpy demagogue & failed governor candidate Travis “Take Back California” Allen, warning us of SF-style human feces covering all California streets if Democrats somehow take control in this state!
- Then from about 5:30 to 10:30, a guy who actually sounds really good – Westminster reformer and council candidate Khai Do, making some keen observations on corruption, cronyism and nepotism in Little Saigon. Little do the Republican videographers realize, he is trashing assembly candidate Tyler Diep as well as Mayor Tri Ta and the never-disappearing Margie Rice. Check it out, Greg and Ryan – I think we should invite this guy to blog here – he could be this decade’s (late lamented) Bolsavik.
- The last six minutes is just a buncha nimrods, but highly entertaining. I should add, MULTICULTURAL, Trump-worshiping Nimrods. Can’t take that away from them.
Well, I don’t know if Juice-Brother Greg had a different Weekend Open Thread planned, but this’ll work. So much still working itself out from this historic election. Let’s keep updating.
Last night we saw Cottie Petrie-Norris overtake Matt Harper in the coastal 74th Assembly District – I guess that gives Democrats a super-super-majority, for what that’s worth.
We are still holding out forlorn hope for Gil Cisneros and Katie Porter in their very close Congressional races. (And also serious educator Tony Thurmond over charter shill Marshall Tuck for California Superintendent of Public Instruction.)
Democrats still won’t be getting the Senate, but we are cheering on Arizona’s Kyrsten Sinema (below in her infamous anti-war tutu appearance) as she passes up HER Republican opponent.
Looks like VERY contentious recount times in both Georgia (governor) and Florida (senator and governor.)
Long-time weaselly Koch-worshiping Wisconsin governor Scott Walker finally defeated (Sorry, maybe some of our OJ Republicans liked some of his policies.) But remember when he came here in 2011, to hold a fundraiser at the Newport offices of Baugh and Righeimer? I think he was being threatened with recall at the time. A boatload of us Occupiers and Union folks showed up to protest outside the office, and when they found out they whisked Scottie off to another, safer location. (Friends of ours found ’em in a Newport bar, probably the Gulfstream.) But we adapted Monty Python’s “Brave Sir Robin” for the occasion and sang:
Scott Walker ran away.
Walker ran away, away!
When unions reared their ugly head
He bravely turned his tail and fled.
When Occupy began to shout
The cross-eyed governor chickened out,
Scott Walker ran away…
OH! Did I mention? Anaheim’s Measure L – Living Wage for workers at subsidized resort businesses – passed by 1%. Next battle will be in the courts to see if the measure covers Disney, but seeing as how J and K also passed (thanks to very little opposition which they SHOULD have had) it’ll definitely cover employees of the two subsidized Wincome hotels! Did these songs (or did they not) give Measure L its margin of victory?
Alexandria, who lives with and is supported by her mother and hasn’t had a job in decades, has always been nuts. Just look back to her anti-gay rants when she was on the Board of Education. She and her type is one of the reasons the Republicans have no future.
I believe all this, hence it’s shocking that:
This was the best candidate local Republicans could come up with, AND
She managed to get more than 20% of the vote, LET ALONE 47%, AND
So many of my intelligent GOP friends voted for her! (Not Ryan at least…)
I was going to do a WOT, but am happy to have this relieve that burden. My stuff for the near future is all going to be highly wonky.
Coronado’s webpage on Sharon and the Sex Offenders — which would NOT, contrary to the old meme from before meme culture, be a good name for a band — was sickening. I almost wrote about it, but decided that it was better to deprive her campaign of that much extra oxygen.
Sharon’s current margin is +6 — I expect that she’ll end up at +9, give or take a point.
As for Khai Do — I’m all for bringing in new blood. My top draft pick, if he’d go for it, would be Jestin Samson.
And what I’d like RIGHT NOW is for someone to work on a piece for Sunday or Monday (or both?) on the 100th anniversary of the end of the War to End All Wars. (Thank heaven that THAT worked, huh?)
Finally (for the moment), to my RKBA-happy colleagues — would it be possible for y’all to make a list of all the people who are “good men and women with a gun” whose armed presence is helping to protect our society? Because I have the feeling that people who would be on that list one day are murdering all sorts of innocent people the next day — and that would seem to take the wind out of that “Armed Society is a Polite Society” argument, wouldn’t it?
I think that it may have been Cynthia who pointed out to me that the real gun issue is not over self-defense in normal times — which could be addressed by allowing people shotguns and rifles that are among other things not as likely to be taken out for a night on the town, as well as other reasonable proposals — but concerns preparation for the complete (temporary or permanent) breakdown of civil society, an eventuality for which no arsenal devoted to home defense could be too large.
This is still the smartest contribution that I’ve seen to the whole gun regulation debate from the pro- (meaning the expansive scope of) RKBA side. If this is really what the issue is, then let’s just freaking admit it. There are some potential compromises that might work even under that scenario — and at least it would be good to agree on what we’re actually fighting about: the equivalent of keeping MREs and plenty of water on hand in the event of an earthquake, rather than keeping handguns that are more likely to be used to kill family members than intruders.
Also, we need to figure out where is the best location to focus on with our new “ARM THE HOMELESS!” campaign. RKBA proponents — you’re FOR our handing out handguns to the homeless, right?
Breaking news: in one fell swoop, Katie Porter has sawed Mimi Walters, 4,037 vote lead almost precisely in half. Today’s returns (largely late-but-legit absentees) have Walters leading by 2,020 votes. It’s not clear whether all of the absentees that arrived in today’s mail with Tuesday’s postmark will have already been included in the total.
In any event, here is the ROV’s vaunted “What’s Left to Count” feature:
Total estimated number of ballots to count (after Election Day): 437,980
Total estimated number of ballots counted (after Election Day): 71,544
Total Estimated Left to Count: 366,436
Vote-by-Mail Left to Count
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots to count: 55800
Total vote-by-mail ballots counted: 51,835
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots left to count: 3,965
Provisionals Left to Count
Total estimated number of provisionals to count: 160000
Total provisionals counted: 0
Total estimated number of provisionals left to count: 160,000
Vote-by-Mail Returned at Polling Places Left to Count
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots returned at the polls to count: 187800
Total vote-by-mail ballots returned at the polls counted: 18,860
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots returned at the polls left to count: 168,940
Election Day Paper Left to Count
Total estimated number of election day paper ballots to count: 13200
Total election day paper ballots counted: 849
Total estimated number of election day paper ballots left to count: 12,351
Eligible Vote-by-Mail Ballots received after Election Day Left to Count
Total estimated number of eligible vote-by-mail ballots received after Election Day left to count: 19,380
Total eligible vote-by-mail ballots counted: 0
Total estimated number of eligible vote-by-mail ballots left to count: 19,380
Conditional Voter Registrations Left to Count
Total estimated number of Conditional Voter Registrations to count: 1,800
Total eligible Conditional Voter Registrations counted: 0
Total estimated number of Conditional Voter Registrations left to count: 1,800
Of the 722.212 votes recorded as cast in the election so far, 205.930 of them have had votes in the CA-45 race. That’s about 28.5% — almost exactly 2/7 — which is a pretty reasonable estimate for one of the districts where people are most inclined to vote. If that proportion held up for the votes left to count, that would be about 125,000 votes yet to be tallied in this rase — and those categories remaining are likely to lead Democratic. There are other differences between the tallied and yet-to-be-tallied votes which would suggest a lower estimate — but if those votes are from a similar pool as the ones tallied today (which is the way to bet), Then one would expect a Porter win by about 4,000 votes. If they’re only half as likely to support Porter as today’s batch, then you’d still expect a Porter win by about 1,000 votes.
No prediction here, just noting the impact of a pretty great day for Katie Porter.
Hi everyone! I absolutely dislike Young Kim with a passion and have been following the CA-39 race very closely, almost with the same attention that SD-29 was given two years ago.
As a courtesy to everyone, here is the math that I’ve done on votes for that race so far. As of 5pm on Nov 9, the totals are:
Kim = 55,478 (OC) + 18,446 (LA) + 9,287 (SB) for a total of 83,211 votes districtwide.
Cisneros = 47,944 (OC – for shame!) + 23,775 (LA – thank you!) + 8,820 (SB) for a total of 80,539 votes district wide
Percentage wise, this would put Kim at 0.508 or 50.8% and Cisneros at 0.492 or 49.2% out of 163,750 votes counted so far!
Sadly, I don’t see the OC portion of the district going blue – it is the home of Nixon’s Presidential Library after all, and also the home to most Korean voters in this election. But maybe, if in the coming days Chino Hills goes blue, Cisneros widens his lead in the San Gabriel Valley, and Kim’s lead in Orange County gets reduced, this seat could flip too!
Again, I really hope she doesn’t win. But if she were to win, I at least I have the satisfaction of knowing that she won’t be able to bask in the glory of being the first Korean-American elected to Congress alone. She would have to share that title with Andy Kim, a Democrat from New Jersey – who I hope *does* get to keep that distinction alone!