.
.
.
The ballots, they dwindle to a precious few….
Notable results and non-results:
- The Anaheim report will now return to its assigned place. But the city saw only 100 votes counted despite a whole bunch of provisionals being counted, so it seems likely that that sweet “backwash” theory of how the last spoonful or two of the vote would be more Democratic didn’t work so well. (They were Democratic, but less informed — which may explain the shift towards Galloway.)
- They counted exactly 6,000 provisionals yesterday. About 2,600 are left.
- Sunny Park increased her lead. So there’s that.
- A summary of other notable results will appear eventually. Somewhere.
- I expect one more day of counting, maybe two if there are special things that need to be done for the final count, or if staff gets slashed, etc.
WHAT’S LEFT TO COUNT?
Total Ballots Left to Count
Total estimated number of ballots to count (after Election Day): 479,191Total estimated number of ballots counted (after Election Day): 476,466
Total Estimated Left to Count: 2,725
Vote-by-Mail Left to Count
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots to count: 127,500Total vote-by-mail ballots counted: 127,477
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots left to count: 23
Provisionals Left to Count
Total estimated number of provisionals to count: 123000Total provisionals counted: 120,397
Total estimated number of provisionals left to count: 2,603
Vote-by-Mail Returned at Polling Places Left to Count
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots returned at the polls to count: 191,530
Total vote-by-mail ballots returned at the polls counted: 191,503
Total estimated number of vote-by-mail ballots returned at the polls left to count: 27
Election Day Paper Left to Count
Total estimated number of election day paper ballots to count: 13200Total election day paper ballots counted: 13,175
Total estimated number of election day paper ballots left to count: 25
Eligible Vote-by-Mail Ballots received after Election Day Left to Count
Total estimated number of eligible vote-by-mail ballots received after Election Day left to count: 20,697
Total eligible vote-by-mail ballots counted: 20,672
Total estimated number of eligible vote-by-mail ballots left to count: 25
Conditional Voter Registrations Left to Count
Total estimated number of Conditional Voter Registrations to count: 3,264
Total eligible Conditional Voter Registrations counted: 3,242
Total estimated number of Conditional Voter Registrations left to count: 22
ALL OF THE REMAINING CLOSE CONTESTS! (~1%)
Here are the downballot races that are still close. I have generally included the static numbers from Tuesday’s OC ROV report and the Secretary of State’s office (for multi-county races) and the trend from the previous reports on Saturday. In each race, the name in orange is currently barely in and the one in magenta is currently barely out. (I’m somewhat arbitrarily and selectively drawing the line right around “under 2%,” down 1% from the previous day’s criterion.)
If you know anything interesting about these races and why we should care about them, please speak up!
First, the “bragging rights” contest: will OC go Blue for Governor?
| Governor |
| Completed Precincts: 1546 of 1546 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| GAVIN NEWSOM (DEM) |
540,690 |
50.1% |
| JOHN H. COX (REP) |
538,243 |
49.9% |
|
The lead went from 1,920 to 2,447.
| LAGUNA BEACH UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member |
| Number To Vote For: 3 |
| Completed Precincts: 31 of 31 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| * CAROL NORMANDIN |
5,883 |
21.9% |
| * DEE NAMBA PERRY |
5,663 |
21.1% |
| JAMES J. KELLY |
5,511 |
20.5% |
| CHRISTINE DE BRETTEVILLE |
5,491 |
20.4% |
| MARK NELSON |
3,588 |
13.3% |
| HOWARD HILLS (W) |
753 |
2.8% |
|
Normandin picked up 26 votes, Perry 17, Kelly 21, and De Bretteville 22. Kelly’s lead dropped from 31 to 30. This is probably over, but we’ll stay to the bitter end.
| LOS ALAMITOS UNIFIED SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member |
| Number To Vote For: 2 |
| Completed Precincts: 35 of 35 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| MARLYS DAVIDSON |
10,351 |
26.4% |
| * DIANA D. HILL |
9,597 |
24.5% |
| * JEFFREY I. BARKE |
9,564 |
24.4% |
| OLAINA ANDERSON |
6,824 |
17.4% |
| CONNOR SWAN SMITH |
2,824 |
7.2% |
|
Hill picks up 12. Barke gains 12. Margin remains at 33. As above: probably over, but we’ll keep watching.
| FULLERTON JOINT UNION HIGH SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member, Trustee Area 1 |
| Completed Precincts: 9 of 9 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| REGINA CUADRA |
4,281 |
50.8% |
| CHESTER JENG |
4,152 |
49.2% |
* Indicates Incumbent Candidate, if any |
Jeng up 217 in LA , minus Cuadra by 129 (down 2) in OC, equals Jeng up by 88 — up from 86.
| Candidate(s) |
Votes |
Percent |
| Chester Jeng (N) |
2,012 |
52.85% |
| Regina Cuadra (N) |
1,795 |
47.15% |
Fullerton Joint Union High School District Governing Board Member, Trustee Area No. 1 LA VOTE — STAYS THE SAME!
| HUNTINGTON BEACH CITY SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member |
| Number To Vote For: 3 |
| Completed Precincts: 37 of 37 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| * PAUL R. MORROW |
17,578 |
25.5% |
| DIANA MARKS |
14,563 |
21.1% |
| * SHARI KOWALKE |
13,653 |
19.8% |
| JENNIFER HAYDEN |
13,468 |
19.5% |
| KARRIE BURROUGHS |
9,753 |
14.1% |
|
Kowalke adds 41. Hayden adds 54. Lead down to 185. Like the first two: probably over, but keep watching.
| OCEAN VIEW SCHOOL DISTRICT Governing Board Member |
| Number To Vote For: 3 |
| Completed Precincts: 41 of 41 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| * PATRICIA SINGER |
17,989 |
24.6% |
| * JOHN BRISCOE |
15,759 |
21.5% |
| * JACK C. SOUDERS |
15,446 |
21.1% |
| GRACEY VAN DER MARK |
12,817 |
17.5% |
| KATE HOLMES |
11,202 |
15.3% |
|
Souders’s margin over VDMark shrinks from 637 to 629. It’s over and it’s going to look pretty much like this. We’re dropping coverage of this one.
| County Supervisor, 4th District |
| Completed Precincts: 276 of 276 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| DOUG CHAFFEE |
76,769 |
50.4% |
| TIM SHAW |
75,449 |
49.6% |
|
Chaffee adds 220, Shaw adds 166. Will the margin reach 1%?
| CITY OF ANAHEIM Mayor |
| Completed Precincts: 129 of 129 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| HARRY SIDHU |
26,413 |
32.5% |
| ASHLEIGH AITKEN |
25,935 |
31.9% |
| LORRI GALLOWAY |
12,364 |
15.2% |
| CYNTHIA WARD |
7,119 |
8.7% |
| H. FUJI SHIOURA |
3,023 |
3.7% |
| ROBERT WILLIAMS |
2,822 |
3.5% |
| RUDY GAONA |
2,504 |
3.1% |
| TONY D. MARTIN |
1,198 |
1.5% |
|
Ashleigh’s deficit falls from 484 to 478 — and that’s all she wrote. Anaheim only got 2.3% of the ballots counted today — but there were only 100 counted. Ashleigh did the best in provisionals, but for the second time Galloway did better in the late polling than Sidhu — which shows how much she was splitting the vote.
| CITY OF BUENA PARK Member, City Council, District 1 |
| Completed Precincts: 8 of 8 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| SUNNY YOUNGSUN PARK |
1,560 |
34.9% |
| * VIRGINIA VAUGHN |
1,544 |
34.5% |
| W. “VAL” SADOWINSKI |
1,367 |
30.6% |
|
Sunny Park looked in danger yesterday when the margin suddenly dropped to 10 — but after an 8-2 run today for Park it is back up to 16. There probably are not enough North Buena Park ballots left to make a difference.
| CITY OF LAGUNA WOODS Member, City Council |
| Number To Vote For: 2 |
| Completed Precincts: 11 of 11 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| * CAROL MOORE |
5,461 |
35.3% |
| * JOE RAINEY |
5,049 |
32.6% |
| JUDITH P. TROUTMAN |
4,976 |
32.1% |
|
Moore up by 22, Rainey by 15, Troutman by 19. We’re done here.
| CITY OF LAGUNA WOODS Member, City Council |
| Number To Vote For: 2 |
| Completed Precincts: 11 of 11 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| * CAROL MOORE |
5,439 |
35.2% |
| * JOE RAINEY |
5,034 |
32.6% |
| JUDITH P. TROUTMAN |
4,957 |
32.1% |
|
| CITY OF NEWPORT BEACH Member, City Council, District 3 |
| Completed Precincts: 76 of 76 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| * MARSHALL “DUFFY” DUFFIELD |
18,435 |
50.1% |
| TIM STOAKS |
18,392 |
49.9% |
|
Stoaks picks up one vote. That won’t do it.
| CITY OF SANTA ANA Mayor |
| Completed Precincts: 78 of 78 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| * MIGUEL A. PULIDO |
28,312 |
50.6% |
| SAL TINAJERO |
27,624 |
49.4% |
|
Pulido picks up 89; Tinajero picks up 104. It’s over, but we’ll still stick around.
| IRVINE RANCH WATER DISTRICT Director |
| Number To Vote For: 3 |
| Completed Precincts: 246 of 246 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| * DOUG REINHART |
65,829 |
26.0% |
| * STEVE LAMAR |
63,852 |
25.2% |
| * PEER A. SWAN |
54,162 |
21.4% |
| ANDREW R. POLLARD |
52,260 |
20.7% |
| RICHARD A. VANZINI |
16,967 |
6.7% |
|
Swan picks up 206; Pollard gains 277. Margin falls to 1,902, and that should hold. We want to be absolutely sure on this one, so no early call.
| L-City of Anaheim, Initiative Ordinance to Increase Minimum Wage |
| Completed Precincts: 129 of 129 |
|
Vote Count |
Percentage |
| Yes |
45,216 |
54.2% |
| No |
38,219 |
45.8% |
|
YES adds 70 votes. NO adds 26 votes. As I said, I’m only leaving this up here because of the probable correlation to the Mayoral vote — and this suggests a 70-26 liberal split in the 100 votes. Ashleigh should have been getting that whole 70+ percent. Alas.
The one light is Measure L
I have a friend at Disneyland that will go from $12 to $17 a hour under the new plan.
Yeah — unless Disneyland moves to Tustin!
The November 30 report just came out — Ashleigh down by 475 — but the surprise is (1) that the clock is still ticking, so this is not the final report, and (2) that the clock is set for 9:00 tonight, meaning that the final report should presumably come out then.
Sunny Park still up by 16, Peer Swan still up by 865, Greg Diamond still tails that jerk Brett Barbre for a water board seat by less than 29,300. What the hell, I’ll concede the race even before the final results come in. (Someone else can call the SOB and let him know.)