A new poll commissioned by the Diane Harke watch website, shows that the Republican Assemblywoman is in big trouble in her district. Over 20% of the voters find Harkey to be from somewhat unfavorable to very unfavorable. Just over 22% find her somewhat favorable to very favorable.
However, when voters are asked if they know about the financial scandal that Harkey’s husband is involved in, the affect is stunning. Over fifty percent of the voters say that this scandal will probably to definitely affect their vote in 2010!
To make matters worse for Harkey, this same poll indicates that over 57% of the voters find Democratic President Barack Obama to be somewhat to very favorable.
A Democrat has already announced his intentions to run against Harkey. His name is Pierre Gilbert and he has bases in both the San Diego and Orange County portions of the 73rd. And Harkey’s district is no longer considered to be a “safe” GOP seat. It now is said to “lean” Republican. With Harkey at the helm it might well end up being a “safe” Democratic seat!
But realistically, a well-funded Republican candidate ought to be able to finish Harkey off in the primary.
Wouldn’t that be something if Harkey’s patron, Congressman John Campbell, were to also lose in 2010, to Irvine Councilwoman Beth Krom?
if these polls are “new”…then why does the create date for the crosstab doc show that it was created on March 13, 2009?
i understand that it’s strategic to release problems in spurts….but you kids need to do a better job in hiding your tracks
Hard to believe Art is shilling for that Agran clown Krom. Moxley has done a lot of reporting on the corruption and illicit acts in Irvine by Krom and her ilk. He should read up.
So Harkey has a 20% unfavorable and she’s weak, but Obama has a 28% unfavorable and he’s strong.
Terry,
Just so you know, the folks at the Diane Harkey watch include some very conservative Republicans.
Harkey is unethical – this is why they want her out.
Obama by the way won Harkey’s district. Didn’t know that did you?
Whatever. Harkey can go, Harkey can stay. Didnt say anything about Harkey. And yes, I knew what districts Obama won. Do you know what districts he’s already losing?
Note: you didnt comment on how you managed to fit in shillng for that Agran clown Krom.
“Bucks Up” will buy some favorable stats—she just has to keep hubby out of jail.
Terry,
You have a link for the Moxley/Krom stuff?
Yeah, I’m lazy 😉
C’mon now folks, we’re all smarter than this. Will Harkey win her bid for reelection? Well, let’s take a quick look. For that to happen, a Republican challenger will need to defeat her. Will, and can, a challenger from her own party defeat the incumbent? I doubt it. Like the 2008 election, she’ll have all her ducks in a row and run away with the primary.
If she wins the Republican nomination, it’s all over. She’s an incumbent living in a Republican dominated district. If a Democrat was going to win, it would have been in 2008 when the hour was darkest for Republicans. As the minority party in both the state and at the federal level, Republicans won’t need to shoulder that blame again.
I agree that the lawsuit against her husband will hurt her reputation to some extent, but I seriously doubt it will cost her any elections.