It’s a race in the 34th State Senate District!
I spoke yesterday to a political pro who has been following both sides of the race in the 34th State Senate District. Apparently early polling is showing RINO Lynn Daucher with a small advantage over conservative Lupe Moreno, at 43% versus 35%. As I have contended from the beginning, this race is winnable for Moreno, and these numbers underscore that.
I also found out yesterday that Moreno has retained a campaign manager – which is great news. Her website will be redone entirely by next week, and she will soon open a campaign office. One thing I have learned about Moreno is that she is a very resolute person. She has already raised several thousand dollars, and more is coming in every day. Daucher’s campaign should not underestimate her.
In the meantime, it is quickly getting very dirty over in the Democrat side of the aisle. Tom Umberg viciously attacked Lou Correa at an Orange County Democrat Party meeting recently, as reported by my co-blogger Claudio Gallegos. Now the blogosphere is rife with innuendo that Correa, like Umberg, has been less than devoted to his wife. I find that very hard to believe. It is also an odious turn in the race. Clearly the Democrat candidates are going to bloody each other in the primary. The winner will emerge with mortal wounds.
The same insider who gave me the polling numbers regarding Daucher vs. Moreno says that Umberg, were he to win the primary, would barely have an edge over Moreno, in a theoretical general election. Correa however would have a broader advantage in the same circumstances. Daucher loses the general no matter whom she opposes.
this is surprising news for lupe.
what is a RINO? does the lady have a big nose?
RINO = republican in name only
I’ve never heard anything about Correa having a wandering eye but come to think of it in 8 years I have only seen him with his wife once, and I live in his housing track. I still think it must just be political talk because of the election. Does it really matter if he has girlfriends anyway? I don’t think so.
Art,
I would say viciously is an overstatement, Umberg was very critical but not vicious. What turned me off was that he had nothing good to say about himself and his accomplishments. I kept thinking to myself “when is he going to talk about good he has done.” I went into that meeting still personally struggling with the issue greatly but leaning Correa at that point. The negative speech sent me over the edge. But I would not call it vicious. Just wait until later in the campaign, I have a feeling we all will be seeing what vicious is all about on both sides of the aisle.
As of now, I may be voting for Correa in June, but I do not plan to volunteer or donate. All I plan to do is vote and tell family and friends to vote, but I don’t anticipate being active in the campaign.
Art,
Have you notice the majority of the blogs you have posted are regarding your candidate, Lupe Moreno? How about we hear about other candidates and other positions facing Orange County and the cities within.
Otherwise, you might as well switch O-Juice into her campaign Website.
Just a thought.
Where is the money coming from to pay for the (1) new website; (2) new campaign manager; and (3) new campaign headquarters?
Is Lupe in a better financial position than previously reported?
Originally Lupe hoped to raise $15K – where are the deep pockets?
Luis,
I understand your sentiment – but with Tran dropping out of the race for the 34th SD, and Righeimer and Nguyen accordingly dropping out of the race for the 68th AD, there just has not been that much to write about. The other big races are Harman vs. Harkey for the 35th (and honestly OC Blog is covering that race pretty well – I cannot add much to the discussion); McGill vs. Silva in the 67th (recap – Silva is slumping and McGill is surprising everyone); Hunt vs. Carona (Claudio and I have both covered this race extensively), and Avila vs. Nguyen for the 47th CD (that one is no contest – Avila will beat the former Democrat handily).
So Luis, what else am I supposed to be writing about? Claudio is doing a great job writing about local races – and I am commenting on most of his posts.
I reserve the right to post about the Moreno campaign when there is something worth posting about – few would argue that my posts about her endorsement by the CRA and the latest polling results are not newsworthy.
Anonymous,
Lupe is getting daily contributions from her supporters – and they are scattered all over the U.S. At our current rate, I suspect we will top $25,000 before this is over. And I know that many I.E.’s are bound to help her as well. She has many friends in the GOP.
Claudio—Spare us the spin. Umberg talked positive as well as how his positions on ISSUES differed from Correa. I would think that you of all people would be concerned about issues. Like choice….who is Planned Parenthood supporting in this race? Where was Lou Correa during the Prop. 73 campaign? Did he take a position or did he hide in the shadows?
You posted previously you flipped because you were worried about losing the 34th for the Dems. Ok, thats as good a reason as any. But what changed in the few weeks that you told Umberg you endorsed him and even posted it on your blog to the caucus? The only thing new was the bruce Young-Sandy Polka below the belt hit piece that you deplored. And then bought into.
Art,
We could talk about the 69th Race, We can also discuss the PIP program being introduced in the city of Santa Ana. We can discuss the vending truck ordinance the city lost, and how the city continuously puts themselves in situations where they constantly get sued. There are a ton of issues happening in the county and cities around which are more “newsworthy” than an anti-immigrant” candidate.
But of course this is your blog, and I am appreciate you have allowed me to input my humble opinion.
I agree with Bladerunner in that I’d like to see more detail on where the candidate’s in the 69th and 34th races stand on reproductive rights, gay rights and past voting records on state and local issues. I seems like neither one of you (Art/Claudio) have a real ax to grind on these races so I’d like to hear more of your thoughts.
oops. guess it was Mr. Luis, not Bladerunner who I agree with. No offense to B.R.
anon.(5:35pm)– I agree with Rodriguez too…I’d like to see the candidates stands on the issues in the 69th and I’d add the 34th.
Lupe is a real republican and it will come out. Why do so many of you hate what is basically just a good person?
Don’t these candidates have to answer in writting questions when they go for endorcements (Police, Labor, Fire Unions, etc) or Planned Parenthood, Emily’s list, Christian Groups??? Maybe someone reading this Blog has a copy of some of the anwers they gave and would be so kind as to post them here since it’s been hard to get some of them to debate.
anon(9:30pm)– I agree with the part of your post concerning Mrs. Correa.
The last part I don’t agree. The Register article was a hit job. Tom and Robin went public because the Register was going to publish it. Getting scooped by the Times enraged the Register writer who slanted the story even more.
I expect decent candidates to stop their friends and allies from disseminating this character assasination material. The Gitmo hit is not accurate but fair commentary. But the rest is beyond the pale. And if Correa is as decent as iu think he is then he should be a man and tell his people to knok it off and then do something to make sure they do.
The name of Lou Correa’s wife is Esther Reynoso, not Mrs. Correa. You have to love a liberated woman not afraid to use her maiden name. And Lou must have some sense of open mindedness to allow his wife to keep her maiden name instead of making her take his own last name. You all make him sound as extreme as Art. He may be moderate but he is no conservative by any stretch.
Anyone who has met Dr. Reynoso would understand that Lou did not “allow” his wife to keep her own name.
I doubt she would consider asking for permission.
Good for her!
Also, Bladerunner, I can’t find the 9:30 pm you respond to in your post.
Has it been erased from the blog (a la Jubal/OCBlog)?
Sorry, my mistake. It was the 8:21pm post that referenced a 9:30am previous post.
OC Dem–thanks for filling me in on Ms. Esther Reynoso, although I suspect the next poster puts it better then you did. By the way, I never have suggested Lou is as extreme as Art. In fact, I haven’t seen any that suggest that point of view. Can you reference on–I might have missed it.
Anonymous poster at 8:17 pm
What’s a real Republican or are you just parroting Arty?
So Lupe Moreno is hiring a campaign manager? Will she be bringing aboard any of the same neo-Nazis that Jim Gilchrist had working for him when he ran for Congress?
Artster,
I have two really easy questions and they simply require a one word -yes or no – answer.
1. Did Ms. Moreno use personal funds when filing her Candidate Intention Form 501?
2. It appears that Ms. Moreno
Elfaba,
One of these days you’ll have to share with us exactly what an “Elfaba” is. As for your question, I have not seen a report this week, but I am fairly certain that we have raised over $3,000 thus far.
Staunch,
The Moreno campaign does now have a campaign manager. She is a volunteer. She has a strong background in business management and we are hopeful to have an office by next week. The campaign committee will continue to advise Moreno as well.
Artster,
But you didn’t address my two really easy little questions.
But that’s okay, I’ll way for the next report.
Elfaba is my name and I am a being from the planet Earth visiting over many decades.
Art, all on $3,000?
Elfaba is the name of the wicked witch of the West according to the play Wicked. Wicked is the origin and the story of the Wicked Witch of the West, the one from The Wizard of Oz.
Darn now Artster knows I’m green and quite possibly an alien. 🙂
And for sure I’m terrified of water… So if Artster invites me over for a pool party – he would actually mean to murder me… 🙂
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