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Orange County Election Results
OC Results 11/3, 10:00 pm (Some Vote Centers)
By Greg Diamond
– November 3, 2020Posted in: Fresh Juice
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John Earl reports….
Exclusively published here in installments!
- The Orange Lady – OC Register
- Kings edge Blackhawks in season finale, will face Oilers in playoffs again
- Frank Vatrano’s hat trick leads Ducks past Golden Knights in season finale
- Canyon softball survives wild finish against El Modena to keep hold on first place
- Mission Viejo softball uses clutch hitting to defeat Aliso Niguel and remain in first place
- USC’s Anthony Lucas among returning defensive players with ‘a lot to prove’
- Orange County scores and player stats for Thursday, April 18
- Santa Anita horse racing consensus picks for Friday, April 19, 2024
- Man gets 11 years for DUI crash that killed 3 returning from Bible study in Placentia
- Former member of neo-Nazi group testifies in Samuel Woodward murder trial
OC Gallery of MAGA Goofballs and Terrorists!
- Pedroza’s New Santa Ana
- Santa Ana is not included in a new list of California’s Safest Cities of 2024
- The SAPD will conduct a DUI and Driver’s License checkpoint on Friday, April 19, 2024
- A shooting in Anaheim closed part of West Ball Road yesterday afternoon for several hours
- Orange County soccer player Anthony Chavoya makes his pro debut
- The Santa Ana City Council firmly opposes a proposed drug needle distribution program
- A traffic stop in Santa Ana led to an arrest on drug and probation charges
Hear Vern’s dark holidays song….
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THANK YOU GEORGIA!!!
REMINDER! JUST US EDITORS WILL BE COMMENTING HERE! AND A NEW ONE WILL BE COMING OUT EVERY HALF HOUR STARTING AT 9:00! SO TO KEEP YOUR DISCUSSIONS TOGETHER, PLEASE COMMENT ON THE POST WITH THE TWO GIGANTIC ORANGES! YOUR COMMENTS WILL BE MOVED THERE IF YOU DON’T DO IT RIGHT!
Let’s first talk about turnout. Just the absentee ballots, and drop box ballots received at the Registrar’s office by Saturday, give us 59.95% (which, dammit, I’m calling 60%!) of the votes. That’s a good turnout all by itself in most general elections. A total 70% turnout would be huge but conceivable — and would mean that 83% of the vote is already in. A 75% turnout — massive — would mean that this is 80% of the vote. A stupendous 80% turnout would mean that 75% of the votes are already here. Above that, you don’t want to know.
The point is that while these are not the final results, they are a lot closer to the final results than is usually the case.
Substantively, this shows OC to be a hugely anti-Trump County. Biden is leading Trump here by 21-2/3%. This suggests to me that the late mail/drop vote and in-person vote may be much more Republican than otherwise. But it’s also possible that we really ARE this anti-Trump. (By the way, I voted Monday night by dropping my completed ballot into a dropbox there — I couldn’t make up my mind about that damned MWDOC race! — and I expect that lots of other Dems and leaners may have done something similar (but for better reasons.)
You were right on the MWDOC race – and the three races with good candidates turned out good for anti-Poseidon voices – McVicker, Seckel and Yoo.
The OCWD and Mesa races we cared about, on the other hand, sucked. (Four more years of Tri Ta, Cathy Green and Fisler.)
Yeah — but nothing is worse than what happened to Anaheim.
At least we haven’t lost any ground on OCWD. Now Mayor Sarmiento just has to come through.
Let’s do Congress:
CA-38: If Linda Sanchez is winning La Palma by 70%, she’s OK.
CA-39: Gil Cisneros is leading Young Kim with 52.63% of the vote — and that doesn’t include LA.
CA-45: Katie Porter leads Greg Raths 60-40
CA-46: Lou Correa has 72.6%
CA-47: Alan Lowenthal has 58% in the OC part of his district; LA will be even better
CA-48: Harley Rouda has a 55%+ lead over Michelle Steel. Looks good
CA-49: Mike Levin leads Brian Maryott by 1.9% in the OC part of his district; SD will be better
Gil ahead district-wide by only 113 votes as of midnite.
The pathetic Michelle Steel has passed up Harley Rouda. HB & Newport will be so proud of her!
And we just lost Mike Levin.
Katie is safe though, and she’s the best!
No, maybe, and no.
These are the results for only Orange County. While I haven’t checked yet, I’m confident that Gil kicked ass in LA. Winning the OC portion of his district on its own is incredible.
Steel is favored to win at this point, but the late arriving mail-in ballots (most of which will be in today or tomorrow) can still save Rouda.
I am confident, though I haven’t checked, that Levin kicked ass in the San Diego portion of his district and will have won.
I WAS looking at district wide. Except I forgot to for Levin. Levin looks good, Gil is toast.
Lemme see: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/returns/us-rep/district/39
Gil Cisneros (Party Preference: DEM) 133,263 49.8%
Young Kim (Party Preference: REP) 134,556 50.2%
Hmm,,,. It’ll be close, but I’ll bet you $5 that Gil wins. These next days are all about the late mail ballots, late drop off ballots, and provisionals. Mine from Monday night hasn’t yet been counted!
Now YK is up by 2500. There’s still time for the most late legal mail-ins/drop-off and provisional ballots to swing it Gil’s wayy, but I’m less optimistic now. They have 34 days left to certify it, and they might use most of it!
And Steel up over Rouda by even more. But I’ve been telling dejected Democrats in those two districts, remember the trajectories of SQS and Josh.
SQS barely beat Young Kim in.. 2012, right? in a district that’d been red forever. Two years later, Young Kim came back. For the last time. Since 2016 SQS has kicked ass, the the OC GOP is down to throwing eccentric sacrificial-lamb extremists at her and spending very little.
More recently, Josh won 2016 just BARELY barely, in a district that’d been red forever, and the GOP managed to recall him a little later. Now he’s back, stronger than ever.
CA 39 / Cisneros and CA 48 / Rouda are likely to be like that.
Now who do we get to take Michelle’s place on BOS? That’s a silver lining!
Good advice — but I’m still hoping to win. And Pelosi should absolutely refuse to seat Steel pending an investigation of *illegal* ballot harvesting — and if that puts a national spotlight on corruption among the Republican Vietnamese candidates, so much the better!
State Senate (9:30 totals)
SD-29 — Josh Newman leads Ling-Ling Chang by 56-54% — and that’s in the OC portion of the district! LA will be better; Chino Hills may be worse, but is smaller.
SD-37 — Dave Min leading John Moorlach by about 57%-43%.
Josh leading Ling Ling district-wide 62.8% to 47.2%. It’s done. Congrats Senator Josh, welcome back from exile!
Assembly (9:30 totals)
AD-55: Chen leads Rodriguez with only 53.56. I will check the Secretary of State’s site with an update before things are over!
AD-65: Quirk-Silva with aboout 63%
AD-68: Fox leads Choi by 51.7% to 48.3%
AD-69: Tom Daly with about 75%
AD-72: Diedre Nguyen over Janet Nguyen by 2% — ONE TO WATCH!
AD-73: Laurie Davies over Scott Rhinehart, 51.7% to 48.3% — ONE TO MAYBE WATCH
AD-74: Cottie Petrie-Norris ove Diane Dixon, 56.8% to 43.2%
We’re going to keep archiving the ROV reports (without publishing them, but for later review) through its last report for the day at 12:30 a.m.. As of 11:00, turnout had reached 71.2% — and at least one big race has changed dramatically. Unfortunately, the “What’s Left to Vote” feature, upon which I would normally depend desperately at a moment like this, appears to have been turned off.
We may move all of the discussion and reporting of results to the page with the double oranges.