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To some extent, this post is just an excuse to post an ad I made up a few weeks ago (when the news had just come out) that I thought was pretty hilarious. Everyone I showed it to thought that it might help my campaign less than I thought, so I didn’t use it. If I somehow fail to win tonight, that may be why. But I don’t want to dwell on might-have-beens, especially with turnout so low that conceivably the Occupy Orange County vote alone might be enough to elect me.
Two serious — or maybe more like “not entirely fanciful” — items of note.
(1) When do people make up their minds? It may be later than you think!
I have new data to offer about when people made up their minds about whom to support. Its existence is almost a total accident — but it’s pretty interesting.
We’ll never know how many hits there were on our June Primary Voter Guide — because after I posted it on May 8 (which I can tell because Vern posted the first comment that day at 4:08 PM), Vern revised it substantially — and in doing so somehow erased the data for the first 11 days. (Usually, I am the one to do something like that here.) In fact, he did it twice! I had been monitoring its readership, though, and as best I can recall it got something like 1000 views in the first few days and another 1000 between then and his (admittedly superior) revision on May 19. As of about 5 p.m. today, it stood at 3,555 views, so add 2,000 from before and we have PRECISELY 5,555 views (at least if you discount the statistical noise included by my wild-ass guess of “2,000.”) Based on this, we can conclude that a whole lot of people read their voter guides on Election Day and the day before — toss in June 1 and it’s about as many as the last 13 days of May.
But that — if you can believe it — is not what’s really interesting!
Way back on March 22, when I was trying to put together my information on all of the candidates for Attorney General (because I just couldn’t believe that the Republicans had forgotten to run anyone of any stature), I found that there was a seventh candidate in the race who had been heretofore unknown to me (and, more importantly, to Scott Lay, on whose research I rely.) His name was David King.
So I decided to write a bit about him, in a story entitled “Republican Attorney General Candidate David King is Serious But Stupid.” I did this because:
- on first read, I thought that he WAS the long-expected respectable Republican White Knight who would take on Kamala Harris, and
- he deserved a swat on the nose for stupidly calling the Employment Development Department “a useless agency,” which it isn’t — and if he thinks that it is it just shows how out of touch he is.
On closer examination I decided that he wasn’t really so serious after all, so I lost interest in him. Vern — my own Editor in Chief! — made fun of me in the first comment:
And in other important breaking news…
To which I, affronted, said:
Currently #1 on Google for “California Attorney General ‘David King’.” How often do we get that sort of thing done?
The weird thing is, though, that it has stayed right around there. It’s now #2 on Google, right after his campaign website. And that means that a lot of people wanting a more “objective” view of David King came here and learned something about the EDD.
As I write, the thing has gotten almost 2200 views — and the way things are going about 20-25% of them will have been yesterday and today. So I can give you real data of how Republicans desperate to find someone worth voting for in the Attorney General race have behaved — and here’s a graphic representation of it.
Because David King is one of five not-famous (non-Kamala and non-Orly) candidates for Attorney General, and because this was perhaps the first place people would look for information on the Web after his own site and maybe smartvoter.com, this gives you a reasonable estimate of when, and how intensively, people start seriously researching candidates in a statewide race. You don’t start to show a real bump until right around the time that absentee voting begins — and except for one bump a week ago today it’s not until the day before the election that people really got serious. Like I said — to me, that’s interesting!
(Must cite OJB by the way!)
(2) So you want to come to my “victory party”? OK, meet me at Costa Mesa City Hall!
Obviously, if I didn’t have enough money to mail everyone around copies of THAT FANTASTIC WATCHCAT GRAPHIC up there at the top, I wasn’t going to have money to host a victory party either. So I’m letting the City of Costa Mesa hold it for me — and you’re welcome to come along! Here — Geoff “Pot Stirrer” West tells you how important it is over on his site A Bubbling Cauldron.
I’m there, as you may surmise from my prior behavior, to tell the Costa Mesa City Council that I am contemplating suing them over Brown Act violations if they don’t get their house in order — something which is not the Costa Mesa Council majority’s strong suit — which is something I’ve been wanting to do for a long time. I also plan to remind them that the City Charter that they’re looking at tonight is a bad, bad, bad, offensive, dangerous, and unworkable document — one that voters should reject out of hand!
If watching that is your idea of fun, then maybe I’ll see you there! I’m aiming for maybe 6:30. And if we feel like it, if the meeting ends early enough maybe afterwards we’ll go out for garlic pizza while we watch the returns come in!