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UPDATE, 2/4 — District Attorney Tony Rackauckas takes out papers to file for re-election (which could be a feint), Jesse Petrilla takes out papers for AD-73 (which could be a farce.)
If you missed the first installment of this series, as we move towards the March 7 (or where an eligible incumbent declines to run, March 12) deadline to set the field for the June primary, you may want to check that one. While some things have changed, most haven’t, and the previous analysis still holds. So, with a PDF warning for the link, what’s happened in the past week and a day?
State Executive Office: Another person from OC has filed, but it isn’t Neel Kashkari, so it doesn’t matter.
39th Congressional District: Incumbent Ed Royce still hasn’t filed here. That’s not so surprising, as he doesn’t really need signatures-in-lieu, but it does fit with the rumored possibility that he does see expectant father Jay Chen’s footsteps ahead of him in 2016 (or thereafter as the district gets more and more minority-based) and so might move to John Campbell’s CA-45, where he could serve out the rest of his natural days in Congress. If that happened, my bet is that he’d have told no one except for Bob Huff, to whom he’d possibly pass the baton.
45th Congressional District: According to our conservative “OCPolitic_” competitors, John Moorlach has the lead but Mimi Walters has the money. But Mimi has less money than Royce does!
47th Congressional District: Rumors are that the Republicans may run someone less obviously doomed than the first candidate to run, but still not someone likely to beat Al Lowenthal.
34th State Senate District: The first really interesting development is that Long Pham has taken out papers, suggesting that Janet Nguyen is not a shoo-in to make the runoff. I have lost track of who’s in what faction, or even if there are still major factions in the Vietnamese community or whether by now everything has degenerated into fiefdoms.
36th State Senate District: This still looks like a Diane Harkey vs. Martin Garrick faceoff, but a Ken Lopez has joined the fray. No idea offhand whether this is actually Ken Maddox-Lopez. Won’t likely matter.
72nd Assembly District: Perennial candidate Albert Ayala has filed. Travis Allen hasn’t yet filed. Joe DoVinh hasn’t yet filed. And the rumor at the Tet festival was that DoVinh won’t file after all — instead planning to run for the Garden Grove City Council position of his termed-out wife, Dina Nguyen. Haven’t confirmed it with him.
73rd Assembly District: Still no papers taken by Jesse Petrilla, who had a really bad week. For now it’s just Wendy Gabriella, Bill Brough, and Anna Bryson.
74th Assembly District: Now joining Matt Harper, Keith Curry, and Karina Onofre is Democrat Anila Ali. No papers yet for Travis Allen aide Emanuel Patrascu.
County Auditor-Controller: Appointed incumbent Jan Grimes hasn’t yet taken out papers. James Benuzzi and Eric Woolery have.