November is looking like a total disaster for the Democratic Party


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Picture Courtesy of Rolling Stone

“Republicans must be giddy over the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. Thanks to the BP oil spill in the gulf, the administration’s problems getting a public handle on the disaster and the stubborn economy, President Obama’s job approval rating dropped from 50 percent last month to 45 percent now. His disapproval rating is now 48 percent. To make matters worse, 60 percent of those polled say the nation is on the wrong track” according to the Washington Post.

And the news gets worse for the Democrats.  “A poll just released by Resurgent Republic, an organization founded by former Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie finds that–by a margin of 64 percent to 27 percent–those persons who are likely to vote in the November 2010 election think the United States is on “the wrong track,” according to U.S. News and World Report.

That U.S. News and World Report blog post goes on to state that:

The Democrats’ continued drift to the left has harmed the party’s political fortunes–in much the same way perhaps as the national Republican Party’s move to the right on social issues has caused it problems in the Northeast. But while the GOP at least remains competitive from Maine to New Jersey, the species once known as “the Southern Democrat” is all but extinct. South Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi and Texas–which were once all reliably one party states that sent Democrats to Washington–flipped the other way, and quickly, after Ronald Reagan won the presidency.

What do liberals have to say about this?  Here is how Mike Lux broke it down recently over at the Huffington Post:

The most disturbing poll I have seen in this election cycle (for that matter, the most disturbing since 1994) was an NPR poll from June 7-10. It was disturbing in part because it was done by Stan Greenberg — for my money as good as any Democratic pollster in the business — and not some Republican hack polling firm like Rasmussen. What it basically showed was that Democratic arguments, even relatively well framed ones, have little credibility with the majority of the likely voters in the 2010 elections. Greenberg tried four different sets of competing Democratic and Republican arguments, and the Republican arguments won each time — by 10, 12, 12, and 13 points. Not a single one of the four was even competitive. In past years, similar lines of debate have tended to favor Democrats, but not this time.

The Democrats had a chance, when Obama was elected President in 2008, to frame the debate and show us a path to a better America.  Instead, Obama promptly mired us in a health care debate and he did little to restore our economy, beyond bailing out Wall St. fat cats.  And he did nothing to get us out of the unpopular wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.  He essentially kept his Republican predecessor’s people in charge, at the Pentagon, and he stayed on the path Bush charted, and it shows.

And now the BP oil spill has become a huge disaster for the environment, and according to an article in Rolling Stone, Obama’s Interior Department paved the way for this catastrophe by letting BP get away with irresponsible policies, just as Bush’s administration did.

At this point I think the Democrats are going to lose both Houses of Congress in the mid-term election.  And we may feel the repercussions of that even here, in blue California.  I don’t expect Meg Whitman to win against Jerry Brown, but Carly Fiorina may indeed prevail against Barbara Boxer.  And downstream of those statewide races, we may see a red stain developing in Orange County’s blue center, as both Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez and State Senator Lou Correa are facing serious, well-financed challenges from Republican candidates.

Can the Democrats turn things around between now and November?  Quite frankly, I hope so.  Minorities and civil rights will be set back substantially if the GOP takes over the Congress again.  However, the Democrats profligate spending and bad economic  and defense policies are really hurting this nation.  And they have done little really, to advance civil rights for Latinos and the GLBT community.

We are quite a ways from November.  But it is hard to argue that the GOP isn’t posed for a comeback.  After all, the voters have always preferred a divided federal government.  That is exactly what we might end up with after the general election in November.

And the Democrats are already talking about replacing Obama with U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in 2012…


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